Monday, December 15, 2014

NBA 2K15 Shooting Guard Ratings (12/15/14)

Shooting guard is the most difficult position to statistically evaluate, as a metric like PER is not exactly an accurate measurement stick.  PER factors a player's Usage rate, which causes a great degree of variance.

"Shooting Guard" used to be called "Off-Guard", as in the guard who played off the ball. Michael Jordan changed all that, paving the way for ball-dominant big guards like Kobe Bryant, Dwyane Wade, Brandon Roy (gone but not forgotten), and James Harden.

Studies and have shown that teams play better with only one primary ball-handler, which is why Derek Fisher spent his career next to Kobe and why Hall of Famer Gary Payton was such a dud next to him.  Mario Chalmers has been glued to Wade his entire career, and Patrick Beverley is clearly a better compliment to Harden than a scoring PG like Jeremy Lin (which is likewise why Ronnie Price is starting next to Kobe).

The NBA is a point guard league right now, which means the stats of all SG consequently suffer.  Many starting SG are effectively defense/shooting specialists, as their shot creation ability may not be highly valued.  This is why so many quality SG become sixth men (Manu Ginobili, Jamal Crawford), where their scoring tools are better utilized (they come in when other high-usage players hit the bench).  However even those players are getting squeezed out by teams who recognize the value in running dual-PG lineups.  Reggie Jackson may very well take the court in crunch time next to Russell Westbrook, despite OKC having three capable SG.

Therefore, it takes greater knowledge of the players and their teams to understand whether that player is over or under performing.  Merely looking at stats isn't quite the end-all-be-all.  A SG could change teams and suddenly find themselves in a much different role.  This list isn't nearly as straightforward as the point guard list.  I tried to limit my usage of the "Blue Hammer", but there is simply an abundance of SG who are playing poorly.

SHOOTING GUARD (76)
1-10
89 (+1) James Harden (25.3 PER, 58 TS%, 32 USG%, 35 AST%)
89 (NC) Kobe Bryant (19.3 PER, 49 TS%, 36 USG%, 25 AST%)
87 (+1) Dwyane Wade (22.9 PER, 56 TS%, 34 USG%, 38 AST%)
85 (+3) Klay Thompson (20.1 PER, 58 TS%, 27 USG%, 17 AST%)
85 (NC) DeMar DeRozan (16.8 PER, 49 TS%, 29 USG%, 13 AST%)
84 (+4) Jimmy Butler (21.0 PER, 60 TS%, 22 USG%, 14 AST%)
83 (+1) Monta Ellis (19.2 PER, 53 TS%, 29 USG%, 22 AST%)
83 (NC) Manu Ginobili (16.8 PER, 54 TS%, 25 USG%, 30 AST%)
83 (+1) Joe Johnson (15.9 PER, 54 TS%, 22 USG%, 19 AST%)
81 (+2) Kevin Martin (21.3 PER, 65 TS%, 25 USG%, 12 AST%)

I've been lobbying for 2K to drop Kobe's ratings for over 10 years now.  He is clearly not the player he used to be, and I'm not sure I would even consider him top 5 (he's certainly not top 3) yet he is tied for the top SG rating and tied for 6th best in the NBA.  Even the most rabid Kobe supporter has to relent at some point.  For what it's worth I had Kobe at 83 OVR entering the year, which is appropriate, because the guy is a glorified Monta Ellis at this point (a chucker who'll win fantasy basketball championships but coaches/statisticians/fans know he's no star).

Harden has emerged as the best SG in the league.  For all the talk about how bad his defense is, he's played the 2nd most minutes on the #2 defense in the league.

Wade is reminding everyone that a bad series against the Spurs defense doesn't mean his career is over.

DeRozan has shot the ball poorly (back down to 25 3PT%, but also only 40% from 2PT) and Kyle Lowry has done most of the heavy lifting for Toronto.  DeRozan might have been awarded All-Star status by the coaches last season but you'd better believe in hindsight that they'd all give it to Lowry without blinking.

Jimmy Buckets has been playing out of his mind considering he's a defensive specialist playing next to ball-dominant Derrick Rose.  Players who average 20 PPG by virtue of their efficiency rather than their volume of shots are an extremely rare breed.

Joe Johnson and Kevin Martin are on two different playing fields as scorers.  When Martin is healthy, he's electric.  When Johnson is healthy, he's erratic.

11-20
81 (NC) Bradley Beal (14.1 PER, 55 TS%, 23 USG%, 16 AST%)
81 (-3) Lance Stephenson (10.5 PER, 43 TS%, 20 USG%, 24 AST%)
80 (NC) Jamal Crawford (19.5 PER, 58 TS%, 27 USG%, 19 AST%)
80 (+2) Kyle Korver (17.3 PER, 75 TS%, 14 USG%, 15 AST%)
79 (+2) Louis Williams (20.6 PER, 58 TS%, 28 USG%, 10 AST%)
79 (+1) Wesley Matthews (16.2 PER, 61 TS%, 20 USG%, 11 AST%)
78 (+2) Courtney Lee (16.2 PER, 67 TS%, 15 USG%, 11 AST%)
78 (NC) Nick Young (16.1 PER, 55 TS%, 25 USG%, 4 AST%)
78 (NC) Victor Oladipo (15.9 PER, 56 TS%, 24 USG%, 20 AST%)
78 (+1) O.J. Mayo (13.0 PER, 51 TS%, 23 USG%, 21 AST%)

Beal has been anointed a future star but he's still got a long way to go.  He just isn't a multi-faceted player - his production isn't dissimilar from young O.J. Mayo (look how that turned out).

Ditto for Lance Stephenson, who has been pushed as a future star.  Despite his versatility, it's his ugly shooting that has Charlotte collecting losses once again.

Crawford and Lou Williams are the best microwave scorers in the league.  There is a stark difference between them and the likes of O.J. Mayo (who isn't even on the same level as Nick Young).

21-30
78 (+1) Iman Shumpert (12.3 PER, 48 TS%, 21 USG%, 21 AST%)
77 (-1) Danny Green (16.0 PER, 61 TS%, 17 USG%, 9 AST%)
77 (NC) J.J. Redick (14.7 PER, 62 TS%, 20 USG%, 9 AST%)
77 (-1) Arron Afflalo (13.6 PER, 57 TS%, 20 USG%, 8 AST%)
77 (+1) Alec Burks (13.1 PER, 53 TS%, 21 USG%, 15 AST%)
77 (-1) Avery Bradley (10.2 PER, 51 TS%, 20 USG%, 5 AST%)
77 (-2) Eric Gordon (8.6 PER, 49 TS%, 16 USG%, 16 AST%)
76 (NC) Marcus Thornton (15.3 PER, 54 TS%, 23 USG%, 8 AST%)
76 (+1) Marco Belinelli (15.1 PER, 58 TS%, 20 USG%, 12 AST%)

Danny Green has improved every season and his production is rising just as the Big 3 are starting to decline. As a premier 3-N-D player,  he should be rated on the same plane as Wesley Matthews (79) and Courtney Lee (78).  I honestly wouldn't mind if the lot of these guys were rated 80 OVR, they're in the top half of starting SG thanks to their efficient shooting and quality defense.

The book is in on Iman Shumpert.  He is a bad offensive player (and injury prone, to boot).

Eric Gordon might be the worst value in the NBA, as minimum salary players could outperform this max contract player.  The Pelicans desperately need a shooting specialist because the touches simply aren't there for the ball-dominant guard (good thing they let Anthony Morrow walk, eh?).  Gordon could regain his value on the right team but as it stands he is a detriment when compared next to the likes of Marcus Thornton and Marco Belinelli.

31-40
76 (+1) Rodney Stuckey (15.0 PER, 50 TS%, 26 USG%, 20 AST%)
76 (+1) Gary Neal (14.8 PER, 54 TS%, 24 USG%, 11 AST%)
76 (+2) Jerryd Bayless (11.8 PER, 57 TS%, 17 USG%, 18 AST%)
76 (-2) Dion Waiters (10.7 PER, 47 TS%, 23 USG%, 15 AST%)
75 (-2) Tim Hardaway Jr (13.8 PER, 52 TS%, 25 USG%, 12 AST%)
75 (+3) Evan Fournier (13.0 PER, 56 TS%, 21 USG%, 12 AST%)
75 (-3) J.R. Smith (11.6 PER, 49 TS%, 23 USG%, 22 AST%)
75 (+1) Thabo Sefolosha (9.4 PER, 40 TS%, 15 USG%, 10 AST%)
75 (-2) Vince Carter (8.3 PER, 42 TS%, 22 USG%, 13 AST%)
75 (+1) Mike Miller (2.2 PER, 41 TS%, 8 USG%, 3 AST%)

Dion Waiters isn't just the Michael Beasley of SGs, he is a bad player to boot. With so many better scoring options around him and such a poor outside touch, the odds of him becoming a key contributor for the Cavaliers are slim.

It goes without saying that Sefolosha, Carter, and Miller are all shooting the ball especially poorly for their new teams.

Bayless' rating drops an appropriate degree if his position is changed to PG.

41-50
74 (X) K.J. McDaniels (12.4 PER, 52 TS%, 19 USG%, 9 AST%)
74 (NC) Randy Foye (12.0 PER, 52 TS%, 20 USG%, 17 AST%)
74 (NC) Jason Terry (11.2 PER, 56 TS%, 16 USG%, 12 AST%)
74 (+2) Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (9.7 PER, 49 TS%, 19 USG%, 5 AST%)
73 (NC) Jeremy Lamb (16.2 PER, 56 TS%, 20 USG%, 13 AST%)
73 (NC) Anthony Morrow (12.9 PER, 54 TS%, 18 USG%, 8 AST%)
73 (-1) Jared Dudley (10.5 PER, 54 TS%, 12 USG%, 11 AST%)
73 (+1) Austin Rivers (10.4 PER, 49 TS%, 16 USG%, 16 AST%)
73 (-1) Ben McLemore (10.3 PER, 59 TS%, 16 USG%, 6 AST%)
73 (+1) Tony Snell (6.9 PER, 56 TS%, 11 USG%, 3 AST%)

KCP is the shooting specialist who can't.  Lamb is quietly having a productive season.  Snell is low-usage specialist, just not a very good one.

Austin Rivers and Eric Gordon have identical TS, USG, and AST rates which tells you how far the latter has fallen.

51-76
73 (NC) C.J. Miles (6.5 PER, 42 TS%, 25 USG%, 11 AST%)
72 (NC) Ben Gordon (13.0 PER, 57 TS%, 22 USG%, 12 AST%)
72 (NC) C.J. McCollum (11.2 PER, 55 TS%, 18 USG%, 12 AST%)
72 (+4) Garrett Temple (10.5 PER, 50 TS%, 14 USG%, 11 AST%)
72 (+4) Andre Roberson (9.5 PER, 47 TS%, 10 USG%, 9 AST%)
72 (-2) Nik Stauskas (5.3 PER, 43 TS%, 14 USG%, 8 AST%)
72 (+1) Willie Green (3.4 PER, 36 TS%, 17 USG%, 8 AST%)
71 (NC) P.J. Hairston (9.1 PER, 45 TS%, 20 USG%, 8 AST%)
71 (NC) Gary Harris (3.3 PER, 33 TS%, 19 USG%, 8 AST%)
70 (NC) Alexey Shved (19.5 PER, 55 TS%, 26 USG%, 33 AST%)
70 (-1) Wayne Ellington (13.7 PER, 55 TS%, 16 USG%, 6 AST%)
70 (-1) Nick Johnson (4.6 PER, 39 TS%, 16 USG%, 6 AST%)
69 (-1) Will Barton (4.8 PER, 43 TS%, 19 USG%, 11 AST%)
69 (NC) Brandon Rush (-1.9 PER, 21 TS%, 11 USG%, 5 AST%)
68 (+1) Allan Crabbe (10.2 PER, 62 TS%, 11 USG%, 8 AST%)
68 (NC) Joe Harris (4.8 PER, 53 TS%, 13 USG%, 10 AST%)

C.J. Miles is having a nightmare season.  Nik Stauskas has been awful.  Willie Green is even worse.  Brandon Rush is in the league out of sympathy at this point.

Ben Gordon is having a mini-comeback.  Alexey Shved is producing for a change (and should really be listed at PG).  Ellington is comfortably filling Jodie Meeks' shoes in LA. Allan Crabbe's shooting should put him a couple notches higher than the numerous SG who haven't put the ball in the hole.

LESS THAN 100 MINUTES (19)
75 (+1) Jodie Meeks (DNP)
74 (+1) Martell Webster (DNP)
73 (NC) Jason Richardson (DNP)
71 (NC) E'Twaun Moore (9.8 PER, 35 TS%, 18 USG%, 18 AST%)
70 (-1) Jordan Adams (7.4 PER, 39 TS%, 11 USG%, 16 AST%)
70 (NEW) Zoran Dragic (-19.7 PER, 0 TS%, 22 USG%, 0 AST%)
69 (+1) Markel Brown (4.7 PER, 46 TS%, 24 USG%, 17 AST%)
69 (NC) Glen Rice (-3.7 PER, 31 TS%, 21 USG%, 6 AST%)
69 (NC) Archie Goodwin (10.9 PER, 41 TS%, 24 USG%, 11 AST%)
69 (-2) Troy Daniels (1.1 PER, 41 TS%, 24 USG%, 7 AST%)
68 (NC) James Young (22.4 PER, 65 TS%, 20 USG%, 10 AST%)
68 (NC) John Jenkins (10.6 PER, 52 TS%, 24 USG%, 0 AST%)
68 (-2) Cartier Martin (1.2 PER, 37 TS%, 15 USG%, 9 AST%)
67 (NC) C.J. Wilcox (37.8 PER, 90 TS%, 21 USG%, 34 AST%)
67 (NC) Ian Clark (11.2 PER, 55 TS%, 15 USG%, 6 AST%)
67 (NC) Ricky Ledo (DNP)
65 (NEW) Patrick Christopher (DNP)
64 (NC) Justin Holiday (-1.0 PER, 35 TS%, 18 USG%, 8 AST%)
64 (NEW) Andre Dawkins (-1.4 PER, 50 TS%, 15 USG%, 0 AST%)

FREE AGENTS (18)
78 (NC) Ray Allen (DNP)
74 (NC) Jordan Crawford (DNP
71 (NC) James Anderson (DNP)
71 (NC) MarShon Brooks (DNP)
70 (NC) Elliot Williams (DNP)
69 (NEW) Malcolm Lee (-19.6 PER, 0 TS%, 22 USG%, 0 AST%)
69 (NC) Jamaal Franklin (DNP)
69 (NC) Ronnie Brewer (DNP)
69 (NC) Doron Lamb (DNP)
68 (NC) Chris Johnson (5.9 PER, 43 TS%, 17 USG%, 3 AST%)
68 (NC) Shannon Brown (4.4 PER, 48 TS%, 14 USG%, 5 AST%)
68 (NC) Carrick Felix (DNP)
68 (NC) Keith Bogans (DNP)
65 (NC) Othyus Jeffers (DNP)
65 (NC) Jason Kapono (DNP)
65 (NC) Dionte Christmas (DNP)
65 (NC) Kim English (DNP)
64 (NC) Vander Blue (DNP)

Saturday, December 13, 2014

NBA 2K15 Point Guard Ratings (12/13/14)

With six weeks of NBA action already complete, I thought it would be worth checking on the state of NBA 2K15 player ratings to see how much they have changed with respect to player performance

The listed rating change is how much the player's Overall rating changed from the default roster (as will be the case in future installments, to give an idea of how much progress the player made this season).  Bear in mind that many players had OVR go up or down a point when Speed/Stamina ratings were revamped league-wide.

When ranking the players by their OVR rating you can see natural tier lists that help guide us to where these players ratings should sit.

95-99: All-Time Great
90-94: Superstar
85-89: All-Star
80-84: Quality NBA player (Fringe All-Star)
75-79: Average NBA player (Mediocre starter, quality backup)
70-74: Specialist (1-2 skills keeping player in league)
65-69: Fringe NBA player

POINT GUARDS (72)
1-10
91 (+2) Stephen Curry (26.9 PER, 63 TS%, 29 USG%, 39 AST%)
90 (-1) Chris Paul (26.4 PER, 61 TS%, 22 USG%, 47 AST%)
88 (NC) Russell Westbrook (31.7 PER, 60 TS%, 39 USG%, 54 AST%)
88 (+2) John Wall (20.5 PER, 53 TS%, 26 USG%, 47 AST%)
88 (NC) Derrick Rose (18.5 PER, 55 TS%, 32 USG%, 34 AST%)
87 (NC) Damian Lillard (22.4 PER, 60 TS%, 25 USG%, 29 AST%)
87 (+1) Kyrie Irving (21.1 PER, 58 TS%, 23 USG%, 23 AST%)
87 (-1) Tony Parker (16.9 PER, 58 TS%, 24 USG%, 30 AST%)
86 (+1) Kyle Lowry (23.2 PER, 55 TS%, 25 USG%, 35 AST%)
85 (+1) Deron Williams (17.2 PER, 54 TS%, 23 USG%, 31 AST%)

Westbrook has been balling out of his mind (albeit only 9 games due to injury).  His 39 USG will drop (would set the all-time mark), but when you factor that against his TS it's insane.  Just to give you an idea of how well Westbrook is playing... (and how bad Allen Iverson was, but I digress).

2015 Russell Westbrook: 59.8 TS%, 38.8 USG%,
2006 Kobe Bryant: 55.9 TS%, 38.7 USG%
1987 Michael Jordan: 56.2 TS%, 38.3 USG%
2002 Allen Iverson: 48.9 TS%, 37.8 USG%
2015 Kobe Bryant: 48.9 TS%, 36.2 USG%

Westbrook (88) is rated lower than Kobe (89) even though they're on completely different planets right now.  He's been a better player than John Wall and Derrick Rose for a couple years now. Hopefully 2K will give the man his due (FWIW, I also consider Curry/Paul to be 1-2 points underrated).

Speaking of Rose, he's playing well but not at his MVP-caliber levels.  It's clear from his numbers that he's not a top 5 PG right now.  Kyle Lowry on the other hand has been the East's best PG dating back to last season but continues to get overlooked in favor of bigger names like Rose, Wall, and Kyrie.

Deron Williams has no business being top 10.  He  had some early buzz about a return to form but his production is marginally worse than last season.  Enough is enough.  The same can actually be said of Tony Parker who is a long way from the explosive scorer he was two years ago.

11-20
85 (-2) Rajon Rondo (14.5 PER, 41 TS%, 18 USG%, 47 AST%)
84 (+1) Mike Conley (20.8 PER, 59 TS%, 23 USG%, 31 AST%)
83 (+3) Isaiah Thomas (22.7 PER, 60 TS%, 28 USG%, 29 AST%)
83 (-1) Ty Lawson (18.2 PER, 50 TS%, 22 USG%, 44 AST%)
82 (NC) Jrue Holiday (19.3 PER, 54 TS%, 22 USG%, 32 AST%)
82 (+1) Eric Bledsoe (18.2 PER, 57 TS%, 23 USG%, 29 AST%)
82 (-2) Goran Dragic (17.2 PER, 58 TS%, 22 USG%, 21 AST%)
81 (+3) Jeff Teague (21.2 PER, 60 TS%, 25 USG%, 37 AST%)
81 (+2) Brandon Knight (19.0 PER, 57 TS%, 26 USG%, 30 AST%)
80 (+1) Darren Collison (19.4 PER, 55 TS%, 23 USG%, 32 AST%)

How NOT to chase history:
2015 Rajon Rondo: 41.0 TS%
2008 Ben Wallace: 40.8 TS%

One of these players was a four-time Defensive Player of the Year to counteract his offensive ineptitude.  The other is Rajon Rondo.

Jeff Teague is having a breakout year, a leading reason the Hawks are 3rd in the East and winners of their last 9 games.  Brandon Knight and Darren Collison are likewise having breakouts while leading their teams beyond expectations.

21-30
80 (+2) Reggie Jackson (16.6 PER, 51 TS%, 25 USG%, 32 AST%)
80 (NC) Brandon Jennings (16.0 PER, 50 TS%, 24 USG%, 37 AST%)
80 (-2) Kemba Walker (15.9 PER, 47 TS%, 23 USG%, 27 AST%)
80 (NC) Michael Carter-Williams (12.8 PER, 45 TS%, 28 USG%, 43 AST%)
79 (NC) Ricky Rubio (15.9 PER, 46 TS%, 20 USG%, 56 AST%)
78 (NC) Jose Calderon (13.5 PER, 57 TS%, 14 USG%, 22 AST%)
77 (-1) Patrick Beverley (16.1 PER, 59 TS%, 18 USG%, 16 AST%)
77 (+1) Kirk Hinrich (9.8 PER, 50 TS%, 16 USG%, 18 AST%)
76 (NC) Andre Miller (16.5 PER, 64 TS%, 14 USG%, 39 AST%)
76 (+1) Mario Chalmers (15.5 PER, 57 TS%, 22 USG%, 25 AST%)

MCW isn't having nearly the success he had as a rookie, though recovering from injury hasn't helped.

Patrick Beverley has become the NBA's premier 3-N-D player a leading reason the Rockets 17-5 with the 2nd best defense in the league.  Comparing Beverley straight against Kirk Hinrich makes their ratings look plain silly.

31-40
76 (+2) Tony Wroten (14.8 PER, 49 TS%, 30 USG%, 38 AST%)
76 (-1) Jeremy Lin (13.5 PER, 55 TS%, 19 USG%, 26 AST%)
76 (NC) Greivis Vasquez (13.1 PER, 48 TS%, 23 USG%, 24 AST%)
76 (NC) Nate Robinson (9.7 PER, 43 TS%, 23 USG%, 22 AST%)
75 (+5) Dennis Schroder (19.1 PER, 57 TS%, 24 USG%, 29 AST%)
75 (+2) Aaron Brooks (16.4 PER, 58 TS%, 27 USG%, 30 AST%)
75 (NC) Devin Harris (15.4 PER, 57 TS%, 17 USG%, 22 AST%)
75 (NC) C.J. Watson (14.7 PER, 49 TS%, 21 USG%, 30 AST%)
75 (-1) Mo Williams (13.2 PER, 49 TS%, 21 USG%, 40 AST%)
75 (-1) D.J. Augustin (12.4 PER, 50 TS%, 22 USG%, 26 AST%)

Coming off a dreadful rookie season, Schroder pound for pound might be the league's most improved player (although not a candidate for the award, as it's typically given to players who log heavy minutes).

41-50
75 (-1) Marcus Smart (11.8 PER, 48 TS%, 18 USG%, 13 AST%)
75 (NC) Trey Burke (11.5 PER, 45 TS%, 20 USG%, 29 AST%)
75 (-1) Jameer Nelson (11.0 PER, 51 TS%, 16 USG%, 23 AST%)
74 (NC) J.J. Barea (19.4 PER, 52 TS%, 22 USG%, 33 AST%)
74 (NC) Beno Udrih (16.3 PER, 58 TS%, 20 USG%, 30 AST%)
74 (NC) Jarrett Jack (12.5 PER, 50 TS%, 16 USG%, 21 AST%)
74 (-1) Norris Cole (11.9 PER, 48 TS%, 16 USG%, 23 AST%)
74 (NC) Brian Roberts (11.5 PER, 48 TS%, 18 USG%, 20 AST%)
74 (NC) Elfrid Payton (10.4 PER, 41 TS%, 19 USG%, 30 AST%)
74 (NC) Ramon Sessions (9.4 PER, 45 TS%, 21 USG%, 23 AST%)

J.J. Barea has thoroughly outplayed Mavericks starter Jameer Nelson but is better suited to a bench role.   Beno Udrih is likewise having a bounce-back year with a stable bench role.

51-60
74 (NC) Dante Exum (7.3 PER, 48 TS%, 15 USG%, 17 AST%)
73 (NC) Cory Joseph (16.5 PER, 56 TS%, 19 USG%, 20 AST%)
73 (-1) Shaun Livingston (12.0 PER, 53 TS%, 22 USG%, 23 AST%)
73 (-1) Kendall Marshall (11.5 PER, 61 TS%, 15 USG%, 28 AST%)
73 (-1) Shabazz Napier (9.2 PER, 56 TS%, 15 USG%, 15 AST%)
73 (+1) Matthew Dellavedova (8.2 PER, 48 TS%, 11 USG%, 20 AST%)
72 (NC) Isaiah Canaan (13.9 PER, 19 USG%, 14 AST%)
72 (NC) Pablo Prigioni (13.5 PER, 64 TS%, 13 USG%, 18 AST%)
72 (NC) Luke Ridnour (11.0 PER, 52 TS%, 14 USG%, 26 AST%
72 (+1) Shelvin Mack (9.6 PER, 41 TS%, 18 USG%, 28 AST%)

I've mentioned in a SimHangOut that Cory Joseph would need to step up to fill Patty Mills shoes and he has done so adequately.

Dante Exum is doing a little bit more than letting his sim hang low (Hey Scott, you called it!).  Exum was drafted more for his potential than what he could do as a teenage rookie, and looking at the leap Dennis Schroder has made at 21, it's obviously way too early to discount him. However at present it's clear that Exum has yet to realize his potential.

61-72
72 (+1) Steve Blake (9.4 PER, 50 TS%, 12 USG%, 27 AST%)
72 (NC) Jordan Farmar (9.0 PER, 52 TS%, 17 USG%, 18 AST%)
71 (+6) Donald Sloan (13.1 PER, 48 TS%, 19 USG%, 27 AST%)
71 (-1) Shane Larkin (9.6 PER, 52 TS%, 13 USG%, 16 AST%)
71 (-3) Ray McCallum (6.5 PER, 52 TS%, 17 USG%, 10 AST%)
70 (NC) Jordan Clarkson (15.3 PER, 55 TS%, 19 USG%, 10 AST%)
70 (-2) Zach LaVine (8.8 PER, 49 TS%, 20 USG%, 20 AST%)
70 (NC) Phil Pressey (8.4 PER, 38 TS%, 13 USG%, 25 AST%)
69 (NC) Ronnie Price (8.4 PER, 39 TS%, 12 USG%, 24 AST%)
68 (-4) Jimmer Fredette (2.8 PER, 33 TS%, 15 USG%, 11 AST%)
67 (NC) Leandro Barbosa (12.2 PER, 51 TS%, 20 USG%, 12 AST%)
66 (NC) A.J. Price (17.2 PER, 54 TS%, 25 USG%, 27 AST%)

Donald Sloan did about as well as could be expected going from 3rd string to NBA starter.  A.J. Price actually outplayed him and is in the same boat Sloan was at the start of the year.  Price has been one of 2K's most underrated players dating back to his rookie season in 2010.  He's not great, but the 6-year pro (12.2 Career PER) is certainly a capable 3rd string.

Barbosa should be listed at SG, which would raise his OVR an appropriate degree (there's obviously no comparison between he and Jimmer Fredette).

LESS THAN 100 MINUTES (15)
78 (NC) George Hill (DNP)
77 (NC) Patrick Mills (DNP)
76 (NC) Steve Nash (DNP)
74 (NC) Raymond Felton (DNP)
72 (NC) Nick Calathes (7.7 PER, 41 TS%, 15 USG%, 33 AST%)
72 (-3) Nate Wolters (3.9 PER, 38 TS%, 12 USG%, 8 AST%)
71 (NC) Tyler Ennis (4.9 PER, 46 TS%, 21 USG%, 28 AST%)
69 (NEW) Spencer Dinwiddie (8.5 PER, 40 TS%, 16 USG%, 31 AST%)
68 (NEW) Erick Green (18.7 PER, 65 TS%, 20 USG%, 23 AST%)
68 (NC) Ish Smith (14.0 PER, 50 TS%, 20 USG%, 14 AST%)
68 (-1) Russ Smith (-34.2 PER, 0 TS%, 25 USG%, 0 AST%)
67 (NC) Jannero Pargo (13.3 PER, 54 TS%, 27 USG%, 14 AST%)
67 (NC) Jared Cunningham (1.5 PER, 36 TS%, 23 USG%, 17 AST%)
67 (NC) Gal Mekel (0.6 PER, 15 TS%, 23 USG%, 41 AST%)
66 (NC) Toure Murry (DNP)

FREE AGENTS (20)
72 (+2) Will Bynum (DNP)
69 (NC) Sebastian Telfair (11.8 PER, 48 TS%, 22 USG%, 23 AST%)
69 (NC) Marquis Teague (DNP)
69 (NC) Diante Garrett (DNP)
69 (NC) John Lucas (DNP)
68 (NC) Nando De Colo (DNP)
67 (NEW) Will Cherry (5.9 PER, 35 TS%, 17 USG%, 16 AST%)
67 (NEW) Kalin Lucas (-0.6 PER, 0 TS%, 8 USG%, 0 AST%)
67 (NC) Nemanja Nedovic (DNP)
67 (NC) Julyan Stone (DNP)
66 (NC) Dwight Buycks (DNP)
66 (NEW) Casper Ware (DNP)
66 (NC) Peyton Siva (DNP)
65 (NEW) Jorge Gutierrez (11.1 PER, 52 TS%, 19 USG%, 27 AST%)
65 (NC) Lorenzo Brown (DNP)
65 (NC) Seth Curry (DNP)
65 (NC) Josh Akognon (DNP)
65 (NC) Sherron Collins (DNP)
65 (NC) Mike James (DNP)
60 (NC) Orien Greene (DNP)

Will Bynum's +2 signifies how underrated he was athletically prior to the global speed adjustment.

Even though great progress has been made with respect to player ratings, there's still a lot of work to be actively done.  I should have posts for the other four positions up in the coming days, and will update these lists throughout the season, so check back for updates on which players are over/underrated by 2K Sports.

Monday, December 8, 2014

NBA 2K15 Roster Analysis 12/8/14 - Southeast Division

As mentioned in the previous post, rotations are where I have them, and not 2Ks

ATLANTA HAWKS
13-6 (2nd East, 9th NBA)
2.88 SRS (3rd East, 10th NBA)

STARTERS
81/PG Jeff Teague (30)
80/SG Kyle Korver (32)
76/SF DeMarre Carroll (30)
84/PF Paul Millsap (33)
84/C Al Horford (29)
BENCH
75/PG Dennis Schroder (18)
70/C Pero Antic (17)
74/SG Shelvin Mack (16)
75/SF Thabo Sefolosha (14)
74/PF Mike Scott (14)
70/SF Kent Bazemore (7)
74/C Elton Brand (0)
68/C Mike Muscala (0)
INACTIVE
71/PF Adreian Payne (0)
68/SG John Jenkins (0)

OVERRATED
84/C Al Horford (18.9 PER, 57 TS%, 20 USG%, 6 ORB%, 18 DRB%)
Horford's rebound numbers have taken a hit but Hawks fans are happy he's just taking the court.

UNDERRATED
81/PG Jeff Teague (21.5 PER, 60 TS%, 26 USG%, 38 AST%)
Teague's breakout has the Hawks playing much better than most expected them to.

75/PG Dennis Schroder (21.0 PER, 61 TS%, 24 USG%, 30 AST%, 3.0 STL%)
Ruh roh.  After last season's rookie stinker (5.8 PER), Schroder might be the most improved player in the NBA.  He and Teague make less than 10 million combined!

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Shelvin Mack (+2)
SMALL FORWARD: Thabo Sefolosha (NC)

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WASHINGTON WIZARDS
13-6 (2nd East, 9th NBA)
2.87 SRS (4th East, 11th NBA)

STARTERS
87/PG John Wall (35)
81/SG Bradley Beal (30)
80/SF Paul Pierce (26)
72/PF Kris Humphries (24)
82/C Marcin  Gortat (30)
BENCH
78/PF Nene (21)
71/SF Rasual Butler (21)
71/SG Otto Porter (19)
73/C Kevin Seraphin (16)
76/PG Andre Miller (12)
72/SG Garrett Temple (6)
71/PF Drew Gooden III (0)
69/PF DeJuan Blair (0)
INACTIVE
69/SG Glen Rice Jr (0)
73/SF Martell Webster (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)

OVERRATED
81/SG Bradley Beal (12.2 PER, 52 TS%, 24 USG%)
People talk about Beal similar to the way people used to about Klay Thompson, but frankly all I see is an erratic gunner who thinks he's more than a 3pt shooting specialist (Career 40 3PT%, 42 2PT%).

UNDERRATED
72/PF Kris Humphries (15.0 PER, 49 TS%, 20 USG%, 27 DRB%)
Humphries has been underrated by 2K for about as long as I can remember.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Otto Porter (-1)
SMALL FORWARD: Martell Webster (-1)

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MIAMI HEAT
9-11 (7th East, 17th NBA)
-3.65 (10th East, 22nd NBA)

STARTERS
74/PG Norris Cole (18)
87/SG Dwyane Wade (28)
79/SF Luol Deng (29)
74/PF Josh McRoberts (19)
86/C Chris Bosh (35)
BENCH
78/SG Mario Chalmers (33)
73/PG Shabazz Napier (26)
64/PF Shawne Williams (23)
72/SF James Ennis (17)
73/PF Udonis Haslem (12)
76/SF Danny Granger (0)
70/C Justin Hamilton (0)
69/C Hassan Whiteside (0)
INACTIVE
64/SG Andre Dawkins (0)
76/C Chris Andersen (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)

OVERRATED
76/SF Danny Granger (1.6 PER, 40 TS%, 15 USG%, 63 minutes)
Currently undergoing his THIRD straight season of injury plagued non-production.  Danny is done.

74/PF Josh McRoberts (8.7 PER, 58 TS%, 14 USG%, 28 TO%)
Getting badly outplayed by Shawne Williams.

UNDERRATED
72/SF Shawne Williams (14.1 PER, 63 TS%, 14 USG%, 5 TO%)
Williams rates 8 points lower at PF, a position he's spent the majority of his career (and 100% of his minutes for the Heat).  Drastic overhaul here is clearly necessary.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Mario Chalmers (+2)
POWER FORWARD: Shawne Williams (-8)

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ORLANDO MAGIC
9-14 (9th East, 20th NBA)
-4.68 SRS (11th East, 24th NBA)

STARTERS
75/PG Victor Oladipo (32)
75/SG Evan Fournier (32)
80/SF Tobias Harris (32)
77/PF Channing Frye (30)
82/C Nikola Vucevic (30)
BENCH
74/PG Elfrid Payton (26)
72/SG Willie Green (17)
72/SG Ben Gordon (16)
72/PF Kyle O'Quinn (13)
67/C Dewayne Dedmon (12)
72/PG Luke Ridnour (0)
74/SF Maurice Harkless (0)
71/PF Andrew Nicholson (0)
INACTIVE
68/SF Devyn Marble (0)
74/SF Aaron Gordon (INJURED)

OVERRATED
77/PF Channing Frye (8.7 PER, 56 TS%, 13 USG%, 1 ORB%)
When the starting PF has an offensive rebound rate equal to Ben Gordon's there's a problem.

UNDERRATED
78/SG Victor Oladipo (15.5 PER, 55 TS%, 24 USG%, 19 AST%, 13 DRB%)
Oladipo rates only 75 at PG (where he plays 2/3rds of his minutes).  Scoring, passing, and rebound ratings could all use an uptick.  Compare his numbers to the guards on the Hornets...

72/PF Kyle O'Quinn (28.5 PER, 66 TS%, 25 USG%, 12 ORB%, 5.9 BLK%, 130 minutes)
Sample isn't large but that's besides the point.  O'Quinn has been underrated by 2K since his rookie season (Career 17.1 PER).  Rates only 70 at center, where he's been putting up his numbers in Vucevic's absence.

67/C Dewayne Dedmon (16.4 PER, 54 TS%, 16 USG%, 19 ORB%, 25 DRB%, 5.5 BLK%)
I'm not going to sit here and tell you I'm familiar with the nuances of Dedmon's game but he certainly deserves better than 75 ORB, 73 DRB, 74 BOX, and 69 BLK.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
POINT GUARD: Victor Oladipo (-3)
POWER FORWARD: Aaron Gordon ()
CENTER: Kyle O'Quinn (-2)

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CHARLOTTE HORNETS
5-15 (12th East, 24th NBA)
-5.62 SRS (12th East, 25th NBA)

STARTERS
80/PG Kemba Walker (37)
81/SG Lance Stephenson (33)
76/SF Gerald Henderson (28)
75/PF Cody Zeller (24)
86/C Al Jefferson (32)
BENCH
74/PF Marvin Williams (21)
74/PG Brian Roberts (21)
76/SG Gary Neal (18)
73/C Bismack Biyombo (15)
71/SF P.J. Hairston (11)
68/PF Jason Maxiell (0)
67/PG Jannero Pargo (0)
72/PF Noah Vonleh (0)
INACTIVE
78/SF Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)
72/SF Jeff Taylor (SUSPENDED, ETA JANUARY)

OVERRATED
81/SG Lance Stephenson (10.9 PER, 43 TS%, 20 USG%)
While his rebounds and assists might make him a fantasy all-star, Stephenson  has been one of the league's worst scoring guards.

80/PG Kemba Walker (14.9 PER, 45 TS%, 23 USG%)
That contract extension looks especially poor right now.  It doesn't seem like Kemba and Lance can co-exist.

UNDERRATED
73/C Bismack Biyombo (19.6 PER, 58 TS%, 16 USG%, 18 ORB%, 8 BLK%)
I'm not sure anyone really qualifies as "underrated" on this Hornets team but Biyombo is the closest. His minutes are blocked by Al Jefferson but production is up across the board.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SMALL FORWARD: P.J. Hairston (NC)

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Friday, December 5, 2014

NBA 2K15 Roster Analysis 12/5/14 - Pacific Division

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
16-2 (1st West, 1st NBA)
9.88 SRS (1st West, 1st NBA)

STARTERS
90/PG Stephen Curry (31)
85/SG Klay Thompson (32)
78/SF Harrison Barnes (32)
78/PF Draymond Green (31)
81/C Andrew Bogut (24)
BENCH
80/SF Andre Iguodala (26)
73/C Marreese Speights (19)
73/PG Shaun Livingston (18)
71/SG Leandro Barbosa (12)
70/SF Brandon Rush (11)
71/C Festus Ezeli (4)
67/C Ognjen Kuzmic (0)
64/SG Justin Holiday (0)
INACTIVE
82/PF David Lee (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)

OVERRATED
80/SF Andre Iguodala (9.2 PER, 52 TS%, 13 USG%, 12 AST%)
While his defensive ability and versatility is certainly valuable, Iggy just isn't a better player than Harrison Barnes or Draymond Green right now.

UNDERRATED
90/PG Stephen Curry (28.1 PER, 64 TS%, 29 USG%, 40 AST%)
75/PF Marreese Speights (26.1 PER, 59 TS%, 32 USG%, 9 TO%)

Curry is in some historic company right now.

Point Guard PER > 25
30.0 Chris Paul (2009)
28.3 Chris Paul (2008)
28.1 Stephen Curry (2015)
27.7 Chris Paul (2015)
27.6 Oscar Robertson (1964)
27.0 Chris Paul (2012)
27.0 Magic Johnson (1987)
26.9 Magic Johnson (1989)
26.7 Oscar Robertson (1965)
26.6 Magic Johnson (1990)
26.4 Chris Paul (2013)
26.0 Oscar Robertson (1962)
25.9 Chris Paul (2014)
25.7 Magic Johnson (1981)
25.5 Oscar Robertson (1967)
25.2 Oscar Robertson (1966)
25.1 Magic Johnson (1991)
25.1 Oscar Robertson (1961)
25.0 Jerry West (1965)

There are only four other PGs to post seasons > 25 PER, and two of them were all-time greats prior to the modern era.  Only Chris Paul has put together better seasons than this, but those efforts were required to simply make his Hornets competitive (49 wins in 2009, 56 wins in 2008).  Looking at where Curry has the Warriors in the standings, this could be the greatest all-time season for a point guard.

Derrick Rose had only 23.5 PER when he was awarded MVP for leading the Bulls to the league's top record and I can't see any reason why Curry won't get it barring a sudden collapse in team/individual production.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Leandro Barbosa (+4)
SMALL FORWARD: Brandon Rush (+1)
POWER FORWARD: Draymond Green (NC)
CENTER: Marreese Speights (-2)

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LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
13-5 (6th West, 7th NBA)
6.59 SRS (5th West, 6th NBA)

STARTERS
90/PG Chris Paul (33)
77/SG J.J. Redick (26)
75/SF Matt Barnes (25)
89/PF Blake Griffin (32)
81/C DeAndre Jordan (30)
BENCH
80/SG Jamal Crawford (26)
75/C Spencer Hawes (18)
73/PG Jordan Farmar (16)
74/PF Glen Davis (13)
72/SF Hedo Turkoglu (12)
70/SF Reggie Bullock (9)
69/SG Jared Cunningham (0)
68/C Ekpe Udoh (0)
INACTIVE
67/SG C.J. Wilcox (0)
70/SF Chris Douglas-Roberts (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)

OVERRATED
89/PF Blake Griffin (21.7 PER, 54 TS%, 32 USG%, 8 ORB%, 19 DRB%)

Rebound numbers have slipped every season.  Doesn't deserve 81 ORB, 82 DRB, 90 BOX.  His overall game seems to have hit a plateau.

UNDERRATED
90/PG Chris Paul (27.7 PER, 64 TS%, 21 USG%, 45 AST%)
80/SG Jamal Crawford (20.2 PER, 60 TS%, 27 USG%)

You can copy/paste that same argument for Curry to Chris Paul.  Here's how they compare to their peers.

97 - LeBron James (23.9 PER)
95 - Kevin Durant (1 GP)
94 - Anthony Davis (33.7 PER)
90 - Stephen Curry (28.1 PER)
90 - Chris Paul (27.7 PER)
90 - Carmelo Anthony (20.5 PER)
89 - DeMarcus Cousins (27.8 PER)
89 - James Harden (25.3 PER)
89 - Dirk Nowitzki (23.3 PER)
89 - Blake Griffin (21.7 PER)
89 - Tim Duncan (21.4 PER)
89 - Dwight Howard (20.2 PER)
89 - Kobe Bryant (20.0 PER)
89 - Kevin Love (18.6 PER)
88 - Russell Westbrook (4 GP)
88 - LaMarcus Aldridge (22.5 PER)
88 - Derrick Rose (17.7 PER)

There's clearly still a lot of roster editing to be done (and how did I miss Melo in my Atlantic breakdown?).

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Jared Cunningham (+2)
SMALL FORWARD: Hedo Turkoglu (+4)

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PHOENIX SUNS
11-8 (8th West, 13th NBA)
1.48 SRS (10th West, 13th NBA)

STARTERS
82/PG Eric Bledsoe (32)
84/SG Goran Dragic (30)
76/SF Marcus Morris (21)
78/PF Markieff Morris (30)
75/C Miles Plumlee (20)
BENCH
76/SF P.J. Tucker (25)
78/SF Gerald Green (23)
83/PG Isaiah Thomas (19)
71/C Alex Len (19)
74/PF Anthony Tolliver (11)
72/SF T.J. Warren (10)
69/SG Archie Goodwin (0)
65/PF Shavlik Randolph (0)
INACTIVE
71/PG Tyler Ennis (0)
70/SG Zoran Dragic (0)

OVERRATED
82/PG Goran Dragic (16.3 PER, 58 TS%, 22 USG%, 17 AST%)
Dragic's production is down from last season, though his full-time position switch to SG (where he rates 84 OVR) has had a major impact there.

UNDERRATED
71/C Alex Len (13.6 PER, 60 TS%, 12 USG%)
Has outplayed starter Miles Plumlee thus far.  Has a bit more upside going forward (only 21 years old) so he's a player to watch.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Goran Dragic (+2)
CENTER: Shavlik Randolph (-1)

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SACRAMENTO KINGS
9-9 (9th West, 14th NBA)
3.77 SRS (8th West, 10th NBA)

STARTERS
80/PG Darren Collison (32)
73/SG Ben McLemore (37)
84/SF Rudy Gay (35)
73/PF Jason Thompson (27)
89/C DeMarcus Cousins (31)
BENCH
72/SF Omri Casspi (22)
74/PG Ramon Sessions (17)
76/PF Carl Landry (17)
73/SG Nik Stauskas (12)
72/SF Derrick Williams (10)
73/C Reggie Evans (0)
71/PG Ray McCallum (0)
73/C Ryan Hollins (0)
65/PF Eric Moreland (0)
INACTIVE

OVERRATED
73/PF Jason Thompson (5.4 PER, 39 TS%, 11 USG%)
On the one hand, I think Thompson's fine because you obviously want a low-usage player next to a dominant center like Cousins, but he still needs to knock down the shots he does take.

73/SG Nik Stauskas (5.6 PER, 44 TS%, 12 USG%)
Clearly struggling with his shot.

UNDERRATED
89/C DeMarcus Cousins (27.8 PER, 59 TS%, 33 USG%)
DMC is the best offensive center we've seen in quite some time, perhaps since Shaquille O'Neal, as over the past decade we've really only had Yao Ming (medical retirement), Brook Lopez (multiple injuries), Amare Stoudemire (injuries, stints at power forward), and Dwight Howard (no post moves).

80/PG Darren Collison (19.2 PER, 54 TS%, 21 USG%, 31 AST%)
Has really found a home in Sacramento.  The decision to let Isaiah Thomas walk away for nothing is at least defensible now.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
CENTER: Reggie Evans (-2)

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LOS ANGELES LAKERS
5-14 (13th West, 24th NBA)
-4.51 SRS (14th West, 24th NBA)

STARTERS
76/PG Jeremy Lin ()
89/SG Kobe Bryant ()
74/SF Wesley Johnson ()
75/PF Carlos Boozer ()
77/C Jordan Hill ()
BENCH
78/SF Nick Young (25)
69/PG Ronnie Price (20)
76/C Ed Davis (19)
68/C Robert Sacre (15)
70/SG Wayne Ellington (15)
70/PG Jordan Clarkson (0)
INACTIVE
71/PF Ryan Kelly (INJURED, ETA JANUARY)
70/SF Xavier Henry (INJURED, OUT FOR SEASON)
76/PF Julius Randle (INJURED, OUT FOR SEASON)
76/PG Steve Nash (INJURED, OUT FOR SEASON)

OVERRATED
89/SG Kobe Bryant (20.0 PER, 49 TS%, 36 USG%)
Kobe is putting up shots at an historic rate but his shooting percentage is in the gutter.  Age has simply caught up and he is no longer a superstar.

UNDERRATED
77/C Jordan Hill (19.8 PER, 55 TS%, 19 USG%, 14 ORB%)
76/C Ed Davis (18.0 PER, 61 TS%, 13 USG%, 14 ORB%)
68/C Robert Sacre (15.1 PER, 52 TS%, 20 USG%, 9 TO%)

Keep grabbing them "Kobe-Assists" fellas.

POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SMALL FORWARD: Nick Young (NC)

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

NBA 2K15 Roster Analysis 12/2/14 - Atlantic Division

Been awhile since I've had some free time... let's see where the 2K rosters stand.... have time for an Atlantic Division post.

Rotations are mine and not 2K's (load up the roster to check the differences).  I adjusted first positions which leads to some OVR rating differences (which I mention).

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TORONTO RAPTORS
13-4 (1st East, 3rd NBA)
8.55 SRS (1st East, 2nd NBA)

STARTERS
85/PG Kyle Lowry (35)
77/PG Greivis Vasquez (32)
77/SG Terrence Ross (34)
77/PF Amir Johnson (26)
79/C Jonas Valanciunas (27)
BENCH
74/PF Patrick Patterson (25)
77/SG Louis Williams (25)
73/SF James Johnson (22)
69/C Chuck Hayes (8)
71/C Tyler Hansbrough (6)
69/SF Landry Fields (0)
66/C Greg Stiemsma (0)
64/SF Bruno Caboclo (0)
INACTIVE
67/PF Lucas Nogueira (0)
82/SF DeMar DeRozan (INJURED, NO ETA)

OVERRATED
82/SF DeMar DeRozan (16.7 PER, 49 TS%, 29 USG%)
DeRozan rates four points higher at SG, where 2K has him listed, and his production is not worthy of an 86 (Lowry has been the Raptors best player dating back to last season).  41 Defensive Rebound, 40 Boxout, and a criminally low 40 Post Defense appear to be the reason his rating tanks so hard when switched to SF (appropriate ratings in these categories would lead to an 84 rating, still a bit high given his current level of production).

UNDERRATED
85/PG Kyle Lowry (22.8 PER, 55 TS%, 25 USG%, 9 TO%)
For the second straight season Lowry has been the best guard in the eastern conference (with apologies to oft-injured Dwyane Wade), yet he still rates lower than Derrick Rose (88) Rajon Rondo (87), Kyrie Irving (87), and on par with Deron Williams (85).  Unlike last season, Joe Johnson won't be robbing Lowry of a clear all-star nod (god-willing) and it's high-time that 2K took notice.

79/C Jonas Valanciunas (21.0 PER, 63 TS%, 19 USG%, 29 DRB%)
Guess who's an all-star center the Cavaliers could have drafted over Tristan Thompson?

77/SG Louis Williams (23.2 PER, 59 TS%, 28 USG%, 8 TO%)
No longer attempting to masquerade as a PG (only 8 AST%) and focusing solely on scoring, Williams has never attained this level of efficiency before.  Averaging 15 PPG in a mere 21 MPG, he'll be relied upon heavily in the wake of DeRozan's injury.

73/SF James Johnson (17.5 PER, 62 TS%, 15 USG%, 5.5 BLK%)
Last season was no fluke.

PRIMARY POSITION ADJUSTMENT
SHOOTING GUARD: Terrence Ross (+1)
SMALL FORWARD: DeMar DeRozan (-4)
POWER FORWARD: Lucas Nogueira (+1)
CENTER: Tyler Hansbrough (-1)

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BROOKLYN NETS
6-9 (9th East, 19th NBA)
-3.43 SRS (9th East, 21st NBA)

STARTERS
85/PG Deron Williams (37)
72/SG Bojan Bogdanovic (32)
84/SF Joe Johnson (36)
77/PF Kevin Garnett (24)
82/C Brook Lopez (29)
BENCH
73/PG Jarrett Jack (26)
72/PF Mirza Teletovic (25)
72/SF Alan Anderson (18)
78/C Mason Plumlee (11)
69/C Jerome Jordan (2)
66/PF Cory Jefferson (0)
65/PG Jorge Gutierrez (0)
69/SG Markel Brown (0)
INACTIVE
66/SF Sergey Karasev (0)
72/PF Andrei Kirilenko (PERSONAL, NO ETA)

OVERRATED
84/SF Joe Johnson (15.6 PER, 53 TS%, 22 USG%)
It's finally safe to say Johnson won't be an all-star this season (his production is similar to last season, but Deron Williams is playing better).

82/C Brook Lopez (16.9 PER, 55 TS%, 26 USG%)
Having the worst season of his career, as it seems his foot injuries have finally taken their toll on his production.  Given his limitations/risks he should be coming off the bench or getting reduced minutes.  #FreeMasonPlumlee

72/SG Bojan Bogdanovic (9.4 PER, 54 TS%, 16 USG%, 7 DRB%)
Listed at SF (74 OVR) by 2K, BB thus far has been one-dimensional and an inefficient scorer.

UNDERRATED
72/PF Mirza Teletovic (15.5 PER, 57 TS%, 21 USG%)
A big reason why Plumlee's minutes have been limited while Kirilenko is completely out of the rotation.

PRIMARY POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SHOOTING GUARD: Bojan Bogdanovic (-2), Alan Anderson (-1)
SMALL FORWARD: Joe Johnson (NC)

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BOSTON CELTICS
4-10 (11th East, 23rd NBA)
-2.08 (6th East, 18th NBA)

STARTERS
87/PG Rajon Rondo (31)
78/SG Avery Bradley (31)
79/SF Jeff Green (34)
78/PF Jared Sullinger (30)
70/C Tyler Zeller (17)
BENCH
75/C Kelly Olynyk (26)
76/SF Evan Turner (22)
75/PF Brandon Bass (21)
75/SG Marcus Thornton (15)
70/PG Phil Pressey (13)
74/SF Gerald Wallace (0)
68/SG James Young (0)
66/PF Dwight Powell (0)
INACTIVE
76/PG Marcus Smart (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)
72/C Vitor Faverani (INJURED, NO ETA)

OVERRATED
87/PG Rajon Rondo (16.1 PER, 45 TS%, 18 USG%)
He is 9-30 from the FT line this season.  Averaging 9 PPG on a team devoid of talent, it goes without saying Rondo is no longer an all-star.  It should say a lot that the vaunted defensive backcourt of Rondo/Bradley has carried the Celtics all the way to 27th in defensive efficiency (that's terrible).  

78/SG Avery Bradley (11.1 PER, 53 TS%, 21 USG%, 5 AST%)
Overrated scorer/shooter (only 32 3PT%, 36% for career, with 87 3PT-SS).  His passing skills have not developed one iota since entering the league.

74/SF Gerald Wallace (3.6 PER, 32 TS%, 6 USG%, 9 DNP-CD)
As was evident last season, Crash's days as an effective player are behind him.

UNDERRATED
78/PF Jared Sullinger (20.5 PER, 53 TS%, 23 USG%, 6.6 TO%)
It's not often we see a scoring big man with a nearly 3:1 A/T ratio.

70/C Tyler Zeller (19.5 PER, 71 TS%, 15 USG%)
Zeller, who just earned the starting job in Boston, has been underrated dating back to last season.

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NEW YORK KNICKS
4-14 (13th East, 27th NBA)
-7.76 SRS (14th East, 28th NBA)

STARTERS
78/PG Jose Calderon (23)
78/SG Iman Shumpert (24)
90/SF Carmelo Anthony (32)
70/PF Quincy Acy (24)
74/C Samuel Dalembert (20)
BENCH
77/C Amar'e Stoudemire (23)
72/PG Shane Larkin (20)
77/SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (17)
76/SF J.R. Smith (17)
72/PG Pablo Prigioni (16)
74/PF Jason Smith (15)
66/PF Travis Wear (9)
67/C Cole Aldrich (0)
INACTIVE
SF Cleanthony Early (INJURED, ETA JANUARY)
C Andrea Bargnani (INJURED, NO ETA)

OVERRATED
77/SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (12.2 PER, 51 TS%, 23 USG%)
One dimensional role-player.

76/SG J.R. Smith (10.0 PER, 47 TS%, 22 USG%, 22 AST%)
Worst scoring numbers of his career - as bad as when he was a 19-year old rookie out of high school.  At least he's passing the ball more.

72/PG Shane Larkin (9.2 PER, 49 TS%, 12 USG%, 15 AST%)
He just isn't very good.

UNDERRATED
78/PF Amar'e Stoudemire (20.9 PER, 59 TS%, 24 USG%, 13 ORB%, 25 DRB%)
Rebounding on both ends (career marks) to supplement his always effective offensive play.  One of the few Knicks playing well.

FIRST POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
SMALL FORWARD: J.R. Smith (-1)
CENTER: Amar'e Stoudemire (-1)

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PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
0-17 (15th East, 30th NBA)
-12.91 SRS (15th East, 30th NBA)

STARTERS
80/PG Michael Carter-Williams (35)
70/SG Hollis Thompson (24)
72/SF Luc Mbah a Moute (26)
75/C Nerlens Noel (32)
67/C Henry Sims (26)
BENCH
72/SG K.J. McDaniels (25)
69/PF Brandon Davies (20)
68/PG Alexey Shved (16)
70/SF Robert Covington (12)
64/SF JaKarr Sampson (9)
68/SF Jerami Grant (8)
66/PF Drew Gordon (7)
INACTIVE
76/PG Tony Wroten (INJURED, ETA DECEMBER)
73/SG Jason Richardson (INJURED, ETA JANUARY)
77/C Joel Embiid (INJURED, NO ETA)

OVERRATED
80/PG Michael Carter Williams (11.8 PER, 44 TS%, 31 USG%)
MCW's per game numbers (16/7/6) are only strong when ignoring his shooting percentages and turnover rate.
76/PF Nerlens Noel (10.5 PER, 47 TS%, 15 USG%, 5 ORB%)
Not getting it done on the offensive glass which kills any chance of him being an effective offensive player.

UNDERRATED
71/SG Alexey Shved (20.1 PER, 55 TS%, 27 USG%, 36 AST%)
Rates only 68 at PG, the position he should be listed at.  Shooting and passing much better than he did with Minnesota.
67/C Henry Sims (15.0 PER, 55 TS%, 18 USG%)
Much better offensive player than his ratings reflect.  Has been team's starting center since acquisition in February.

FIRST POSITION ADJUSTMENTS
POINT GUARD: Alexey Shved (-3)
CENTER: Nerlens Noel (-1)