Thursday, October 16, 2014

NBA 2K15 - New players added + Free Agent classifications

2K Sports has fixed the missing player issue they've had over the years, adding players regardless of contract status and without delay.  Long gone are the days of 2K13 which had numerous missing players throughout the year.

Since the game launched 9 days ago we've had at least 19 players added to the roster.

K.J. McDaniels (69/SF) - PHI
Casper Ware (66/PG) - PHI
Damien Inglis (69/SF) - MIL (Guaranteed)
Shane Edwards (63/SF) - CLE
Dwight Powell (66/PF) - BOS
Jorge Gutierrez (65/PG) - BRK
Erick Green (69/PG) - DEN
Damjan Rudez (71/SF) - IND (Guaranteed)
Patric Young (67/PF) - NOP
Spencer Dinwiddie (69/PG) - DET (Guaranteed)
Lucas Nogueira (69/PF) - TOR (Guaranteed)
Kostas Papanikolaou (71/SF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Joey Dorsey (70/PF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Clint Capela (67/PF) - HOU (Guaranteed)
Zoran Dragic (72/SG) - PHX (Guaranteed)
Grant Jerrett (67/PF) - OKC (Guaranteed)
Glenn Robinson III (67/SF) - MIN
Jason Kapono (65/SF) - GSW
D.J. Mbenga (63/C) - FA

I am relatively certain there are more players (for example, I think Dahntay Jones was removed but then re-added upon his training camp invite in Utah) but it's difficult to say when 2K did not release the Free Agent pool among their pre-release ratings..

One added bonus is this influx has allowed 2K to clean out it's Free Agent pool.  As of this writing there are 99 players in the FA pool.

NON-GUARANTEES
Jordan Hamilton (70/SF), Diante Garrett (69/PG), Alonzo Gee (69/SF), Doron Lamb (69/SG), Chris Johnson (68/SF), Charlie Villanueva (68/PF), Rasual Butler (69/SF), Josh Powell (67/PF), Dionte Christmas, Peyton Siva (66/PG), Ronnie Price (66/PG), Justin Holiday (65/SG), Earl Barron (65/C), Lorenzo Brown (65/PG), Kim English (65/SG), Dexter Pittman (65/C), Seth Curry (65/PG), Brian Cook (65/PF), Kyrylo Fesenko (63/C), D.J. Mbenga (63/C)
Players invited to training camp.  Some will make the team roster, but most will head to the...

D-LEAGUE
Nobody fits this classification yet, as the league doesn't begin its roster process until just after the NBA season has started.  It will be filled with Non-Guarantees and...

TRUE FREE AGENTS
Robert Covington (70/SF), Jamaal Franklin (69/SG), Ronnie Brewer (69/SG), John Lucas (69/PG), Keith Bogans (68/SG), Dante Cunningham (68/PF), Jarvis Varnado (67/PF), Malcolm Thomas (66/PF), Reggie Williams (66/SF), Othyus Jeffers (65/SG), Hasheem Thabeet (65/C). Josh Akognon (65/PG), Erik Murphy (65/PF), Sherron Collins (65/PG), Rodney Carney (64/SF), Lazar Hayward (64/SF), Vander Blue (64/SG), Solomon Alabi (63/C), Royal Ivey (59/PG)
Players without domestic or international contracts. Most were waived by teams in the last 30 days, else they would be in camp.

INJURED FREE AGENTS
Emeka Okafor (73/C), Andrew Bynum (73/C), Rashard Lewis (73/PF), Carlos Delfino (70/SF), Greg Oden (68/C)
Players good enough to make an NBA team but presently not healthy enough to pass their physical.

VETERANS WAITING FOR MID-SEASON
Ray Allen (78/SG), Jermaine O'Neal (73/C), Kenyon Martin (70/PF)
Distinguishes vets choosing to sit out in order to join a contender at an advantageous moment.

NOT FREE AGENTS
Vitor Faverani (72/C), Francisco Garcia (69/SF), Robbie Hummel (68/SF), Tony Mitchell (68/SF)
Players in 2K15's FA pool because the team's guaranteed contracts exceed their 15 available roster spots.

TEMPORARY INTERNATIONAL
Andray Blatche (75/C), Jordan Crawford (74/SG), Michael Beasley (72/SF), Miroslav Raduljica (67/C), Mike Harris (65/SF), D.J. White (65/PF), Daniel Orton (63/C)
Basically the list of players who signed in China.  The Chinese season ends late-February which gives players time to re-join the NBA before the playoffs (most recently Shavlik Randolph).

PERMANENT INTERNATIONAL
MarShon Brooks (71/SG), James Anderson (71/SG), Josh Harrellson (68/C), Nando De Colo (68/PG), Julyan Stone (67/PG), Dwight Buycks (66/PG), Gustavo Ayon (66/C), Hilton Armstrong (66/C), Jan Vesely (66/PF), Fab Melo (65/C), Tornike Shengelia (64/SF), Jon Brockman (64/PF), Viacheslav Kravtsov (64/C), Darington Hobson (63/SF), Justin Harper (63/PF), Luke Harangody (62/PF), Sasha Pavlovic (62/SF), Andy Rautins (61/SG), Orien Greene (60/PG), James Nunnally (60/SF), Darnell Jackson (58/PF)
Players signed internationally who do not have NBA out-clauses for the 2014-15 season (with some even having multi-year deals).  It is very difficult for players to return to the NBA once they reach this classification, and some even lose the desire to, as they are getting comparable NBA money and much greater opportunity.

RETIRED
Chauncey Billups (72/PG), Lamar Odom (67/PF), Earl Watson (67/PG), Andris Biedrins (66/C), Jason Collins (66/C), Mike James (65/PG), Brian Cardinal (65/PF), Melvin Ely (65/C), Kwame Brown (65/C), Kelenna Azubuike (65/SG), Marquis Daniels (65/SF), Malik Allen (64/PF), Bobby Simmons (64/SF), Ronald Dupree (64/SF), Quinton Ross (64/SG), Matt Carroll (63/SG), Brian Skinner (63/C), DeSagana Diop (63/C), Vladimir Radmanovic (63/PF), Francisco Elson (62/C)
Players who either announced their retirement or have unofficially given up playing professional basketball.

I'm personally in favor of all "Retired" and "Permanent International" players being removed from the roster to further unclutter the Free Agent pool (99 FAs is still a lot).  These players stay in 2K's database and can be easily re-added to the roster if necessary at any time.  Given how quickly they are doing this now, I don't anticipate any issues.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

NBA 2K15 Dunk Ratings - Shooting Guards

Continuing where we left off with Point Guards, here are the new Dunk ratings for Shooting Guards in NBA 2K15.

NBA 2K14's Dunk Scales (2K15 has not yet been gameplay tested as of this writing)
25: Can't Dunk
45: Under 6'2" can Dunk when open (it seems like 30 is the new cutoff for this)
55: Can Dunk
70: Can Dunk in Traffic
85: Can Dunk in Heavy Traffic

SHOOTING GUARDS
98 (NA) Zach LaVine (Rookie)  (Listed at PG by 2K)
92 (-4) Terrence Ross (3.9%) - 25 (Listed at SF by 2K)
90 (NC) DeMar DeRozan (2.8%) - 38
87 (+13) Ben McLemore (6.6%) - 34
85 (NC) Victor Oladipo (4.2%) - 28
85 (-2) J.R. Smith (1.9%) - 15
85 (-8) Jared Cunningham (0.0%) - 0* (career stats)
85 (NA) Markel Brown (Rookie)
84 (+4) Jason Richardson (0.9%) - 3* (2013 stats)
80 (-8) Gerald Henderson (5.3%) - 46
80 (+2) Kent Bazemore (2.9%) - 9
79 (-1) Jeremy Lamb (3.4%) - 21
78 (-3) Tony Allen (4.8%) - 20
78 (NC) Tim Hardaway Jr (4.5%) - 29
77 (-12) Shannon Brown (6.2%) - 32* (2013 stats)
77 (-2) Thabo Sefolosha (5.3%) - 16
77 (-3) Iman Shumpert (3.1%) - 12
76 (+3) James Harden (3.9%) - 45
76 (-2) Dion Waiters (3.5%) - 29
76 (-3) Lance Stephenson (2.3%) - 19
75 (NC) Jimmy Butler (4.3%) - 29
75 (+4) Tony Snell (2.1%) - 6 (Listed at SF by 2K)
75 (-3) Bradley Beal (1.9%) - 20
74 (+3) Kobe Bryant (3.3%) - 51* (2013 stats)
73 (+3) - Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (4.8%) - 17
73 (NA) Justin Holiday (4.2%) - 2
73 (NA) P.J. Hairston (Rookie)
72 (+4) Xavier Henry (5.8%) - 16
72 (-12) Ronnie Brewer (4.0%) - 5* (2013 stats)
71 (-6) Will Barton (10.9%) - 16
70 (-14) Dwyane Wade (5.3%) - 40
70 (-2) Jodie Meeks (2.8%) - 34
70 (-12) Wesley Matthews (1.9%) - 17
70 (-10) Eric Gordon (0.6%) - 5
69 (+1) Glen Rice Jr (10.8%) - 4
69 (NC) Alec Burks (3.7%) - 28
69 (-6) Courtney Lee (1.1%) - 6
68 (-3) Elliot Williams (8.3%) - 26
68 (NC) James Anderson (5.7%) - 37
68 (-12) C.J. Miles (4.2%) - 16
68 (NA) Kim English (0.9%) - 1* (career stats)
66 (-8) Jamaal Franklin (2.6%) - 1
66 (+6) Ray Allen (1.1%) - 6
65 (-10) Carrick Felix (14.3%) - 2
65 (NC) James Young (Rookie) (Listed at SF by 2K)
64 (NA) Quinton Ross (0.4%) - 1* (2009 stats)
63 (+8) Danny Green (0.8%) - 4
62 (-3) Archie Goodwin (9.6%) - 15
62 (+4) Kevin Martin (3.2%) - 32
62 (NC) MarShon Brooks (3.2%) - 33* (career stats)
62 (-7) Monta Ellis (1.5%) - 18
62 (-6) Jordan Crawford (1.5%) - 10
62 (NC) Klay Thompson (1.0%) - 11
60 (-9) Rasual Butler (4.5%) - 5 (Listed at SF by 2K)
59 (+1) Manu Ginobili (2.2%) - 10
55 (-17) Kelenna Azubuike (3.9%) - 31* (2009 stats)
55 (NC) Evan Fournier (2.2%) - 12
55 (-16) E'Twaun Moore (1.1%) - 5
55 (-14) O.J. Mayo (0.4%) - 1
55 (-20) Rodney Stuckey (0.2%) - 2
55 (NA) Nick Johnson (Rookie)
53 (-10) Alan Anderson (1.9%) - 9 (Listed at SF by 2K)
52 (+6) - Willie Green (2.2%) - 6
50 (-11) Avery Bradley (2.7%) - 17
50 (-16) Wayne Ellington (2.4%) - 3e
50 (-14) Jamal Crawford (0.3%) - 3
50 (NA) Vander Blue (0.0%) - 0
50 (NA) Gary Harris (Rookie)
49 (-23) Marcus Thornton (0.0%) - 0
48 (-9) Marco Belinelli (0.6%) - 3
45 (-1) Alexey Shved (3.0%) - 7
45 (NA) Ian Clark (1.5%) - 1
45 (-22) Ricky Ledo (0.0%) - 0
45 (-15) Allen Crabbe (0.0%) - 0
45 (-16) Keith Bogans (0.0%) - 0 (hasn't dunked in 6 years)
45 (NA) C.J. Wilcox (Rookie)
43 (-19) Gary Neal (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in his career)
42 (NA) Othyus Jeffers (14.0%) - 13* (career stats)
41 (NA) Zoran Dragic (Rookie)
40 (-11) C.J. McCollum (1.1%) - 2
40 (-5) - Randy Foye (0.5%) - 4
40 (-21) John Jenkins (0.3%) - 1* (career stats)
40 (-15) Arron Afflalo (0.2%) - 2
40 (-20) Mike Miller (0.2%) - 1
40 (-17) Jason Terry (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Jordan Adams (Rookie)
39 (-32) Dionte Christmas (0.0%) - 0
35 (NA) Troy Daniels (0.0%) - 0
35 (NA) Nik Stauskas (Rookie)
30 (-34) Garrett Temple (0.7%) - 4* (career stats)
30 (-27) Joe Johnson (0.1%) - 0
30 (-30) Anthony Morrow (0.0%) - 0 (three dunks in 6 years)
30 (-40) Doron Lamb (0.0%) - 0
30 (NA) Joe Harris (Rookie)
25 (NC) Kyle Korver (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) J.J. Redick (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) Ben Gordon (0.0%) - 0
25 (NC) Leandro Barbosa (0.0%) - 0 (Listed at PG by 2K)
25 (NC) Matt Carroll (0.2%) - 4* (Career stats... he retired last year)
25 (NC) Andy Rautins (0.0%) - 0* (Career stats)

BY THE NUMBERS
26 SG saw their dunk rating decrease by double digits.
1 SG saw a double digit increase.
61 SG have a dunk rating 55 or greater.
51 SG have a dunk rating 70 or greater.
8 SG have a dunk rating 85 or greater.

As we saw with PGs, many SGs have lost the ability to dunk at a high level.  While there are many SG who saw their dunk rating tank, there are still a high number who can yam it with regularity.

Unfortunately, it seems like the SGs up top are less consistent than the PG list.

2K Sports seems to have a vendetta against Dwyane Wade who has been playing at less than 100% of late.  Yet anyone who actually missed time is being given a full pass as we saw with Derrick Rose and now see with Kobe Bryant.  Like Rose, Kobe missed most of a season yet somehow saw his dunk rating go up.  The cherry on top of this **** sundae is that Jason Richardson likewise saw his dunk rating go up after missing a season, despite his dunk ability declining BEFORE his injury.






Wade's dunk rating is a mere 4 points higher than former teammate Ray Allen, 39 years old.  This is why these numbers are important, as perception (Wade's athleticism is declining) needs to meet reality (he's still more athletic than most SGs).

 I have played a few games with and against J.R. Smith and (as per usual) it is way too easy to dunk with him compared to how he performs in real life (though part of the problem is that he has a Silver "Posterizer" badge).  Smith did not look particularly athletic coming off knee surgery yet continues to be one of 2K's all-time cheese kings.

Overall I like the direction these ratings are taking.  Aside from some oversights here and there, these are much better and it's reflecting in the gameplay.

Saturday, October 11, 2014

NBA 2K15 Dunk Ratings - Point Guards

Last week I speculated that PG dunking would be an issue in NBA 2K15 due to video released of Zach LaVine tearing it up on the 2K hardwood.  It appears I was only half-right.  LaVine is a problem but with few exceptions, the rest of the league's PGs will be fine.

I love that stats seemed to play a big part in sorting out where these guys should be rated, and as far as the PGs go we can use this as a barometer for future ratings.

NBA 2K14's Dunk Scales (2K15 has not yet been gameplay tested as of this writing)
25: Can't Dunk
45: Under 6'2" can Dunk when open (it seems like 30 is the new cutoff for this)
55: Can Dunk
70: Can Dunk in Traffic
85: Can Dunk in Heavy Traffic

Dunk Rating - Player (% of FGAs) - Total dunks in 2014 (unless otherwise noted)
NC = No Change
NA = Not Available (new addition to roster)

POINT GUARDS - Dunk Rating
98 (NA) Zach LaVine (Rookie)
89 (+6) John Wall (3.2%) - 43
86 (+2) Derrick Rose (1.7%) - 12* (2012 stats)
82 (-2) Russell Westbrook (4.4%) - 30
78 (+18) Damian Lillard (2.1%) - 22
73 (-4) Austin Rivers (1.5%) - 7
73 (-13) Eric Bledsoe (0.9%) - 5
73 (-11) Nate Robinson (0.8%) - 3
69 (+17) Shaun Livingston (11.3%) - 50
69 (+1) Reggie Jackson (3.2%) - 27
65 (-12) Tony Wroten (3.8%) - 29 (Listed at SG in 2K15)
65 (+10) Jeff Teague (0.9%) - 8
60 (+2) Michael Carter-Williams (2.9%) - 29
53 (-25) Ronnie Price (5.4%) - 4
53 (NC) Norris Cole (0.6%) - 3
51 (NC) Mario Chalmers (0.7%) - 4
50 (+8) Ray McCallum (3.3%) - 8
50 (-5) Ramon Sessions (1.7%) - 13
50 (-18) Julyan Stone (0.4%) - 2* (career stats)
50 (NA) Marcus Smart (Rookie)
48 (-30) Marquis Teague (0.4%) - 0* (career stats)
45 (-1) George Hill (1.1%) - 7
45 (+5) Darren Collison (1.0%) - 7
45 (-24) Jerryd Bayless (1.0%) - 3
45 (+4) Goran Dragic (0.9%) - 9
45 (-23) Toure Murry (0.8%) - 1 (Listed at SG in 2K15)
45 (-16) Deron Williams (0.6%) - 4
45 (-21) Louis Williams (0.6%) - 3
45 (NA) Jordan Clarkson (Rookie)
45 (NA) Spencer Dinwiddie (Rookie)
43 (NA) Orien Greene (4.9%) - 15* (career stats)
40 (NC) Jrue Holiday (1.4%) - 16* (2013 stats)
40 (-15) Brandon Knight (0.8%) - 7
40 (-9) Brandon Jennings (0.4%) - 4
40 (-15) Isaiah Canaan (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Lorenzo Brown (0.0%) - 0
40 (NA) Sherron Collins (0.0%) - 0* (career stats)
38 (-26) Jordan Farmar (0.5%) - 2
36 (-32) Donald Sloan (1.0%) - 3* (career stats)
36 (-9) Jeremy Lin (0.6%) - 4
36 (-5) Stephen Curry (0.4%) - 4
36 (NC) Seth Curry (0.0%) - 0
35 (+5) Phil Pressey (0.8%) - 2
35 (NA) Russ Smith (Rookie) (Listed at SG in 2K15)
35 (-13) Mo Williams (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in NBA career)
35 (NA) Jorge Gutierrez (0.0%) - 0
35 (-33) Nemanja Nedovic (0.0%) - 0
31 (-17) Jarrett Jack (0.3%) - 2
30 (-25) Rajon Rondo (0.6%) - 3* (2013 stats)
30 (-38) Ty Lawson (0.4%) - 2
30 (-19) Ish Smith (0.4%) - 1
30 (+5) Mike Conley (0.2%) - 2
30 (-30) Kyrie Irving (0.2%) - 2
30 (-15) Patrick Beverley (0.2%) - 1
30 (-20) Kemba Walker (0.1%) - 0
30 (-10) Trey Burke (0.1%) - 1
30 (-46) Will Bynum (0.0%) - 0
30 (-39) Devin Harris (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 4 years)
30 (-25) Shelvin Mack (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
30 (-20) Cory Joseph (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
30 (-10) Diante Garrett (0.0% - 0
30 (-10) Dwight Buycks (0.0%) - 0
30 (NA) Shabazz Napier (Rookie)
30 (NA) Dante Exum (Rookie)
30 (NA) Elfrid Payton (Rookie)
28 (-20) Nando De Colo (0.5%) - 2* (career stats)
28 (-17) Greivis Vasquez (0.0%) - 0
28 (-12) C.J. Watson (0.0%) - 0
28 (-13) Brian Roberts (0.0%) - 0
27 (+2) Chris Paul (0.1%) - 1
27 (-28) Isaiah Thomas (0.0%) - 0 (has never dunked in NBA career)
27 (-13) Kendall Marshall (0.0%) - 0
27 (-18) Nick Calathes (0.0%) - 0
26 (-35) Nate Wolters (0.0%) - 0
25 (-15) Matthew Dellavedova (0.0%) - 0
25 (NA) Tyler Ennis (Rookie)
25 (NC) - Everyone else (0.0%) - 0

BY THE NUMBERS
38 PG saw their dunk rating decrease by double digits.
3 PG saw a double digit increase.
13 PG have a dunk rating 55 or greater.
8 PG have a dunk rating 70 or greater.
3 PG have a dunk rating 85 or greater.

Going by the old scales, very few PGs will be able to dunk in traffic now, though the star PGs and athletic freaks (LaVine, Wall, Rose, Westbrook) will probably still be able to do this way too frequently for my liking.

The biggest issue might not be Zach LaVine's dunk rating but rather the fact that he is listed as a Point Guard.  LaVine exclusively played Shooting Guard at UCLA.

Via DraftExpress:
-As one might expect considering his relatively meager production as a freshman at UCLA,Zach Lavine's situational profile doesn't paint a pretty picture. Using 9.7 possessions per-game, he ranks as the lowest usage player in this group, and as the least efficient scorer in both one-on-one and pick and roll situations. On the positive side, LaVine's athleticism shows here, as 32.1% of his possessions came in transition, more than any other player, and while he scored an above average 1.148 points per-catch and shoot jump shot, the team drafting him probably won't be overly concerned with how he looked on paper this past season as focused as they'll be on putting him in position to reach his lofty potential a few years from now.

Additionally, from DX's Scouting Report
To his credit, LaVine does a good job of not turning the ball over too often, coughing the ball up on 12% of his possessions (11th best of the 22 SGs in our Top-100), which helped him post an acceptable PPR (.21) and assist to turnover ratio (1.57). When LaVine puts the ball on the floor, it's mostly to shoot a pull-up jumper, which helps him keep the turnovers to a minimum. Somewhere along the line a narrative developed about LaVine possibly projecting as a point guard down the road, but after watching him in high school and at UCLA, it's difficult to see where that came from.

I also highly recommend DX's 14 minute scouting report as further evidence against LaVine.  He's been playing SG next to Mo Williams this pre-season.  Dock his ability to do this off the dribble and his 98 dunk rating would be totally fine (or at least no worse than the abuse we've seen over the years from Gerald Green).

One possible reason for LaVine's dunk rating not jiving with the rest of the players is 2K's rookie ratings have typically been done by a different producer than the one who rates the rest of the players (Remember the STATS Inc mumbo jumbo that 2K was pushing last year?  They automate a bulk of their ratings using a stats program, of which NCAA players do not have applicable data).  This was noticeable in previous iterations of the game.  For example last year 400+ NBA players were held to a 50-99 steal scale (the lowest being Meyers Leonard at 50 Steal), but numerous rookies (eleven!) rated below 50.  One can take this a step further and observe the ratings for legend players; these likewise had to be "handcrafted" and thus weren't scaled with modern players.

Further cementing my theory is that Dante Exum has 30 Dunk rating.



Watching the video it seems like an obvious blunder to rate the 6'6" Exum equally to his teammate, 6'0" Trey Burke.  With the rest of the NBA rating so well and LaVine/Exum rating so poorly on opposite ends of the spectrum (they are 68 points apart!), I don't believe the same person could be responsible.  With that said, while the ratings producer may not have come up with these default ratings, it will be his responsibility to clean up that mess.
  • MISCELLANEOUS NOTES
    Derrick Rose missed two seasons and saw his dunk rating increase, while Russell Westbrook (who has ALWAYS been the far superior dunker) saw his decrease?  At best, Rose should be in the mid-70s Damian Lillard/Eric Bledsoe range.
  • Shaun Livingston's dunk rate is absurdly high because he spent most of the year as a wing, starting and playing next to Deron Williams.  I wouldn't really count him as a  PG which is the main reason why his rating deviates from scale.  It's much easier to get dunks playing off-ball rather than on.
  • Heat PGs Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole were seemingly passed over during the editing process,  as their dunk ratings should both be in the 40-45 range when looking at scale.  They appear to be the only players missed and they play for the same team, so it sure seems like an oversight.
  • Nate Robinson is still too high for my liking.  While the 3-time dunk champ might be great in contests on an uncontested rim, he's never been a prolific in-game dunker.  At 30 years old coming off a torn ACL, his best days are definitely behind him.

Friday, October 10, 2014

NBA 2K15 Team Ratings


Team rating in NBA 2k15 no longer factors in coach ratings and is an average of Offense/Defense ratings.

(Offense / Defense in parenthesize)

EASTERN CONFERENCE
91 Cavaliers (92/90)
90 Bulls (88/93)
86 Heat (84/87)
86 Raptors (87/84)
85 Hornets (85/86)
84 Pacers (77/90)
83 Hawks (83/83)
82 Celtics (79/85)
80 Knicks (82/77)
79 Nets (79/79)
79 Pistons (78/79)
75 Bucks (75/75)
73 Magic (70/76)
71 Sixers (66/76)

WESTERN CONFERENCE
93 Spurs (92/94)
91 Clippers (92/90)
88 Thunder (88/88)
87 Trail Blazers (92/81)
86 Rockets (90/81)
85 Warriors (84/87)
83 Grizzlies (77/89)
83 Pelicans (81/85)
82 Mavericks (90/75)
82 Suns (86/78)
81 Lakers (85/78)
80 Nuggets (81/78)
80 Timberwolves (80/79)
79 Kings (80/77)
72 Jazz (73/71)

The Celtics seem a bit high but this is otherwise a much better list than we've seen in previous iterations.

Sunday, October 5, 2014

NBA 2K14 Dunk ratings and stats

Looking at a player's volume of dunks is a solid indicator of how good a dunker they are.
Strategically, a player is going to dunk whenever possible because it maximizes the chances for two two points.   Going up strong in traffic prevents blocks and draws fouls.
A player with a high volume of dunks is likely dunking in traffic more frequently than others.

A lot of clarity can be given when separating these by position.  We can really see who the over and underrated players are.  Players who play closer to the basket will generate more dunk opportunities, so comparing the numbers of centers to the numbers of guards is not very effective.

The data is a bit overwhelming to look at as a whole, but you can notice patterns here and there.  Ultimately this data will be very effective at establishing "dunk tiers".

More analysis will be coming later but I wanted to get this information out, especially with NBA 2K15 releasing tomorrow.
Taking a break as I spent most of the afternoon and night putting this list together.
Will also be following up with a 2K15 Dunk rating list to see how much has changed over the past few months.

------------------------

Dunk Rating - Player (% of FGAs) - Total dunks in 2014 (unless otherwise noted)

POINT GUARDS
86/PG - Eric Bledsoe (0.9%) - 5
84/PG - Russell Westbrook (4.4%) - 30
84/PG - Derrick Rose (1.7%) - 12* (2012 stats)
84/PG - Nate Robinson (0.8%) - 3
83/PG - John Wall (3.2%) - 43
78/PG - Ronnie Price (5.4%) - 4
78/PG - Marquis Teague (0.4%) - 0* (career stats)
78/PG - Chris Smith (0.0%) - 0 (...............ok..............)
77/PG - Tony Wroten (3.8%) - 29
77/PG - Austin Rivers (1.5%) - 7
76/PG - Will Bynum (0.0%) - 0
69/PG - Jerryd Bayless (1.0%) - 3
69/PG - Devin Harris (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 4 years)
68/PG - Reggie Jackson (3.2%) - 27
68/PG - Donald Sloan (1.0%) - 3* (career stats)
68/PG - Toure Murry (0.8%) - 1
68/PG - Ty Lawson (0.4%) - 2
68/PG - Nemanja Nedovic (0.0%) - 0
66/SG - Louis Williams (0.6%) - 3
64/PG - Jordan Farmar (0.5%) - 2
61/PG - Deron Williams (0.6%) - 4
61/PG - Nate Wolters (0.0%) - 0
60/PG - Damian Lillard (2.1%) - 22
60/PG - Kyrie Irving (0.2%) - 2
58/PG - Michael Carter-Williams (2.9%) - 29
55/PG - Ramon Sessions (1.7%) - 13
55/PG - Brandon Knight (0.8%) - 7
55/PG - Jeff Teague (0.9%) - 8
55/PG - Rajon Rondo (0.6%) - 3* (2013 stats)
55/PG - Isaiah Thomas (0.0%) - 0 (has never dunked in NBA career)
55/PG - Shelvin Mack (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
55/PG - Isaiah Canaan (0.0%) - 0
53/PG - Norris Cole (0.6%) - 3
51/PG - Mario Chalmers (0.7%) - 4
50/PG - Cory Joseph (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in 3 years)
50/PG - Kemba Walker (0.1%) - 0
49/PG - Brandon Jennings (0.4%) - 4
49/PG - Ish Smith (0.4%) - 1
48/PG - Jarrett Jack (0.3%) - 2
48/PG - Mo Williams (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in NBA career)
46/PG - George Hill (1.1%) - 7
45/PG - Jeremy Lin (0.6%) - 4
45/PG - Patrick Beverley (0.2%) - 1
45/PG - Greivis Vasquez (0.0%) - 0
45/PG - Nick Calathes (0.0%) - 0
42/PG - Ray McCallum (3.3%) - 8
41/PG - Goran Dragic (0.9%) - 9
41/PG - Stephen Curry (0.4%) - 4
41/PG - Brian Roberts (0.0%) - 0
40/PG - Jrue Holiday (1.4%) - 16* (2013 stats)
40/PG - Darren Collison (1.0%) - 7
40/PG - Trey Burke (0.1%) - 1
40/PG - C.J. Watson (0.0%) - 0
40/PG - Kendall Marshall (0.0%) - 0
40/PG - Matthew Dellavedova (0.0%) - 0
30/PG - Phil Pressey (0.8%) - 2
25/PG - Mike Conley (0.2%) - 2
25/PG - Chris Paul (0.1%) - 1
25/PG - Everyone else (0.0%) - 0

Contrary to what NBA 2K might have you believe, cross over dunks in traffic with point guards are far and few between.  With few exceptions, PGs seldom dunk, even on the break.  Only 5 PGs receiving regular minutes recorded a 2% dunk rate.

SHOOTING GUARDS
96/SG - Terrence Ross (3.9%) - 25
90/SG - DeMar DeRozan (2.8%) - 38
89/SG - Shannon Brown (6.2%) - 32* (2013 stats)
88/SG - Gerald Henderson (5.3%) - 46
87/SG - J.R. Smith (1.9%) - 15
85/SG - Victor Oladipo (4.2%) - 28
84/SG - Dwyane Wade (5.3%) - 40
82/SG - Wesley Matthews (1.9%) - 17
81/SG - Tony Allen (4.8%) - 20
80/SG - C.J. Miles (4.2%) - 16
80/SG - Jeremy Lamb (3.4%) - 21
80/SG - Iman Shumpert (3.1%) - 12
80/SG - Jason Richardson (0.9%) - 3* (2013 stats)
80/SG - Eric Gordon (0.6%) - 5
79/SG - Thabo Sefolosha (5.3%) - 16
79/SG - Lance Stephenson (2.3%) - 19
78/SG - Tim Hardaway Jr (4.5%) - 29
78/SG - Dion Waiters (3.5%) - 29
78/SG - Kent Bazemore (2.9%) - 9
78/SG - Bradley Beal (1.9%) - 20
77/SG - Will Barton (10.9%) - 16
75/SG - Jimmy Butler (4.3%) - 29
75/SG - Courtney Lee (1.1%) - 6
75/SG - Rodney Stuckey (0.2%) - 2
74/SG - Ben McLemore (6.6%) - 34
73/SG - James Harden (3.9%) - 45
72/SG - Jodie Meeks (2.8%) - 34
72/SG - Marcus Thornton (0.0%) - 0
71/SG - Elliot Williams (8.3%) - 26
71/SG - Kobe Bryant (3.3%) - 51* (2013 stats)
71/SF - Tony Snell (2.1%) - 6
71/PG - E'Twaun Moore (1.1%) - 5
70/SG - Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (4.8%) - 17
69/SG - Alec Burks (3.7%) - 28
69/SG - Monta Ellis (1.5%) - 18
69/SG - O.J. Mayo (0.4%) - 1
68/SG - Glen Rice Jr (10.8%) - 4
68/SG - Xavier Henry (5.8%) - 16
68/SG - James Anderson (5.7%) - 37
68/SG - Jordan Crawford (1.5%) - 10
66/SG - Wayne Ellington (2.4%) - 3
65/SG - Archie Goodwin (9.6%) - 15
64/SG - Garrett Temple (0.7%) - 4* (career stats)
64/SG - Jamal Crawford (0.3%) - 3
62/SG - Klay Thompson (1.0%) - 11
62/SG - Gary Neal (0.0%) - 0 (one dunk in his career)
61/SG - Avery Bradley (2.7%) - 17
60/SG - Ray Allen (1.1%) - 6
60/SG - Anthony Morrow (0.0%) - 0 (three dunks in 6 years)
60/SG - Mike Miller (0.2%) - 1
58/SG - Kevin Martin (3.2%) - 32
58/SG - Manu Ginobili (2.2%) - 10
57/SG - Marco Belinelli (0.6%) - 3
57/SG - Joe Johnson (0.1%) - 0
57/SG - Jason Terry (0.0%) - 0
55/SG - Danny Green (0.8%) - 4
55/SG - Evan Fournier (2.2%) - 12
55/SG - Arron Afflalo (0.2%) - 2
52/PG - Shaun Livingston (11.3%) - 50
51/SG - C.J. McCollum (1.1%) - 2
46/SG - Alexey Shved (3.0%) - 7
46/SG - Willie Green (2.2%) - 6
45/SG - Randy Foye (0.5%) - 4
25/SG - J.J. Redick (0.0%) - 0
25/SG - Ben Gordon (0.0%) - 0

SMALL FORWARDS
95/SF - Josh Smith (6.2%) - 74
93/SF - Gerald Green (6.3%) - 57
92/SF - Andre Iguodala (13.1%) - 58
90/SF- LeBron James (10.1%) - 134
90/SF - Rudy Gay (7.4%) - 74
89/SF - Paul George (5.5%) - 69
88/SF - Trevor Ariza (5.0%) - 42
84/SF - Kawhi Leonard (9.8%) - 59
84/SF Kevin Durant (8.8%) - 146
84/SF - Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (8.5%) - 30
84/SF - Nicholas Batum (6.1%) - 43
84/SF - Travis Outlaw (3.4%) - 10
83/SF - Derrick Williams (12.4%) - 53
82/SF - Maurice Harkless (12.8%) - 60
82/SF - Chris Johnson (1.3%) - 3* (career stats)
81/SF - Corey Brewer (11.6%) - 86
80/SF - Alonzo Gee (15.7%) - 35
80/SF - Al-Farouq Aminu (8.7%) - 42
80/SF - Chase Budinger (2.8%) - 7
79/SF - Giannis Antetekounmpo (16.0%) - 61
79/SF - Chandler Parson (6.1%) - 53
78/SG - Andre Roberson (17.6%) - 11
78/SF - Wesley Johnson (10.0%) - 53
78/SF - Gerald Wallace (6.1%) - 12
78/SF - Victor Claver (5.6%) - 12* (career stats)
78/SF - Jeff Green (4.6%) - 44
76/SF - Wilson Chandler (4.6%) - 30
75/SF - Jeff Taylor (11.0%) - 22
75/SF - Shawn Marion (9.2%) - 62
75/SF - Michael Beasley (6.2%) - 19
75/SF - Nick Young (2.5%) - 21
75/SG - Vince Carter (2.1%) - 15
74/SF - Harrison Barnes (5.6%) - 37
74/SF - Richard Jefferson (6.7%) - 39
74/SF - DeMarre Carroll (3.7%) - 23
74/SF - Carmelo Anthony (2.2%) - 34
74/SF - Caron Butler (0.4%) - 2
73/SF - Tayshaun Prince (4.9%) - 23
73/SF - Gordon Hayward (3.8%) - 38
73/SF - Otto Porter (1.1%) - 1
72/SF - Andrei Kirilenko (18.1%) - 29
72/SF - Danilo Gallinari (5.1%) - 41* (2013 stats)
71/SF - Shabazz Muhammad (7.3%) - 7
71/SF - Hollis Thompson (4.3%) - 13
71/SF - Darius Miller (1.2%) - 2
70/SF Quincy Miller (5.9%) - 13
70/SF - Martell Webster (5.5%) - 30
70/SF - Luol Deng (1.7%) - 15
70/SF - Landry Fields (13.4%) - 7
69/SF - Luc Mbah a Moute (7.3%) - 11
69/SF - Dorell Wright (2.4%) - 7
67/SF - John Salmons (0.5%) - 1
67/SF - James Johnson (14.6%) - 42
67/SF - Evan Turner (2.3%) - 23
67/SF - Quincy Pondexter (7.0%) - 18* (2013 stats)
66/SF - Tobias Harris (4.2%) - 28
66/SF - Jordan Hamilton (2.1%) - 7
65/SF - Tyreke Evans (0.4%) - 4
64/SF - Chris Douglas-Roberts (1.6%) - 3
63/SF - P.J. Tucker (2.0%) - 9
63/SF - Alan Anderson (1.9%) - 9
60/SF - Jae Crowder (4.1%) - 12
60/SF - Kyle Singler (2.3%) - 13
60/SF - Cartier Martin (1.3%) - 3
60/SF - Khris Middleton (1.1%) - 9
60/SF - Mike Dunleavy (0.8%) - 6
58/SF - Matt Barnes (4.2%) - 27
58/SF - Jared Dudley (0.0%) - 0
52/SF - Robbie Hummel (1.1%) - 2
51/SF - Francisco Garcia (0.3%) - 1
49/SF - Paul Pierce (3.1%) - 19
25/SF - Kyle Korver (0.0%) - 0

POWER FORWARDS
95/PF - Jeremy Evans (19.6%) - 59
92/PF - Blake Griffin (14.2%) - 176
88/PF - Kenneth Faried (16.2%) - 88
88/PF - Amare Stoudemire (14.7%) - 46
88/PF - Thaddeus Young (4.8%) - 57
87/PF - Anthony Randolph (11.2%) - 161
82/PF - Serge Ibaka (13.2%) - 116
80 (-1) Jan Vesely (22.0%) - 38
81/SF - Earl Clark (7.9%) - 78* (career stats)
80/SF - Perry Jones (12.7%) - 12
79/PF - Quincy Acy (19.1%) - 25
79/PF - Nene (8.8%) - 49
79/PF - Josh McRoberts (6.4%) - 31
78/PF - Terrence Jones (18.1%) - 122
78/PF - Thomas Robinson (11.6%) - 31
78/PF - Patrick Patterson (4.3%) - 19
77/PF - Anthony Davis (14.9%) - 146
76/PF - Tristan Thompson (15.0%) - 100
75/PF - Kenyon Martin (24.4%) - 27
75/PF - David Lee (7.5%) - 70
74/PF - Derrick Favors (11.4%) - 77
73/PF - John Henson (10.8%) - 65
73/PF - Carl Landry (9.6%) - 54* (2013 stats)
73/PF - Trevor Booker (5.7%) - 23
73/SF - Marvin Williams (2.9%) - 13
72/PF - LaMarcus Aldridge (2.7%) - 36
72/PF - Mirza Teletovic (2.1%) - 8
71/PF - Tyler Hansbrough (9.7%) - 18
71/PF - Andrea Bargnani (2.6%) - 13
70/PF - Brandon Bass (11.0%) - 75
70/PF - Anthony Bennett (9.8%) - 18
70/PF - Jonas Jerebko (4.3%) - 8
70/PF - Greg Monroe (3.8%) - 35
70/PF - Rashard Lewis (1.7%) - 4
69/PF - Darrell Arthur (2.7%) - 9
68/PF - Cody Zeller (11.4%) - 41
68/PF - Taj Gibson (10.9%) - 89
68/PF - Jason Thompson (10.7%) - 51
68/PF - Reggie Evans (8.7%) - 12
68/PF - Al Harrington (3.9%) - 8
67/PF - Amir Johnson (10.3%) - 57
66/SF - Marcus Morris (2.0%) - 12
66/SF - Shawne Williams (1.0%) - 1
65/PF - Donatas Motiejunas (3.4%) - 7
63/PF - Jeff Adrien (10.9%) - 27
63/PF - Kevin Garnett (4.5%) - 13
62/PF - Ed Davis (16.9%) - 42
62/PF - Markieff Morris (7.6%) - 62
62/PF - Mike Scott (4.1%) - 22
62/PF - Carlos Boozer (1.6%) - 16
61/PF - Udonis Haslem (6.8%) - 8
61/SF - Draymond Green (5.4%) - 24
60/PF - Paul Millsap (4.0%) - 34
60/PF - David West (2.1%) - 18
60/PF - Dirk Nowitzki (0.8%) - 10
58/PF - Kris Humphries (8.7%) - 38
58/PF - Ersan Ilyasova (1.8%) - 7
58/PF - Luis Scola (0.5%) - 3
57/PF - Boris Diaw (0.9%) - 4
56/PF - Channing Frye (2.4%) - 17
56/PF - Ryan Kelly (4.9%) - 17
55/PF - Andrew Nicholson (1.9%) - 8
54/PF - Shane Battier (0.4%) - 1
53/PF - Dante Cunningham (5.7%) - 26
52/PF - Anthony Tolliver (1.6%) - 5
52/PF - Ryan Anderson (1.1%) - 12* (2013 stats)
48/PF - Kevin Love (2.3%) - 31
47/PF - Zach Randolph (0.7%) - 7
46/PF - Nick Collison (10.0%) - 20
45/PF - Tim Duncan (4.6%) - 38
42/PF - Glen Davis (1.3%) - 7
42/PF - Matt Bonner (0.0%) - 0
42/SF - Steve Novak (0.0%) - 0

CENTERS
92/C - Dwight Howard (25.8%) - 195
90/C - DeAndre Jordan (53.3%) - 245
89/C - JaVale McGee (37.0%) - 175* (2013 stats)
86/C - Andre Drummond (25.6%) - 183
81/C - Chris Andersen (29.1%) - 78
81/C - Larry Sanders (20.5%) - 114* (2013 stats)
80/C - Jeff Ayres (22.4%) - 36
79/C - Ian Mahinmi (15.9%) - 29
79/C - Nerlens Noel (N/A) - DNP
78/C - Jordan Hill (9.4%) - 45
77/C - Timofey Mozgov (20.6%) - 95
77/C - J.J. Hickson (15.9%) - 98
77/PF - Jeremy Tyler (15.5%) - 16
76/PF - Jarvis Varnado (17.9%) - 11 (career stats)
74/C - Miles Plumlee (22.1%) - 103
72/C - Brandon Wright (29.3%) - 94
72/C - Jeff Withey (20.2%) - 20
72/C - Gorgui Dieng (12.8%) - 27
72/C - Kevin Seraphin (5.5%) - 12
71/C - Tyson Chandler (35.1%) - 106
71/C - Ekpe Udoh (5.6%) - 8
70/C - Joakim Noah (7.0%) - 52
70/C - Al Horford (9.8%) - 101* (2013 stats)
70/C - Mason Plumlee (40.4%) - 116
70/C - Ronny Turiaf (27.1%) - 26
70/C - Joel Freeland (4.3%) - 5
69/C - Ryan Hollins (41.7%) - 29
69/C - Steven Adams (16.2%) - 26
69/C - Chris Bosh (7.3%) - 65
68/C - Andrew Bogut (25.9%) - 91
68/C - Bismack Biyombo (25.7%) - 37
68/C - Omer Asik (21.1%) - 36
68/C - Robert Sacre (13.7%) - 36
68/C - Jonas Valanciunas (12.7%) - 80
68/PF - Aron Baynes (9.8%) - 15
68/C - Brendan Haywood (6.5%) - 14* (2013 stats)
68/C - Nikola Pekovic (2.9%) - 16
67/C - Greg Oden (51.0%) - 20
66/C - Alex Len (14.1%) - 10
66/C - Kyle O'Quinn (10.8%) - 36
66/C - Anderson Varejao (3.7%) - 15
65/C - DeMarcus Cousins (7.3%) - 82
65/C - Henry Sims (3.6%) - 10
64/C - Andray Blatche (6.1%) - 38
64/C - Nikola Vucevic (4.3%) - 27
63/C - Robin Lopez (11.6%) - 75
63/C - Tiago Splitter (10.7%) - 32
62/C - Marc Gasol (3.2%) - 22
61/C - Jason Smith (6.5%) - 109* (career stats)
61/C - Enes Kanter (5.0%) - 39
61/PF - Marreese Speights (6.3%) - 26
61/C - Al Jefferson (2.1%) - 28
60/C - Rudy Gobert (21.6%) - 14
60/C - Brook Lopez (9.1%) - 97* (2013 stats)
60/C - Kosta Koufos (8.3%) - 34
60/C - Andrew Bynum (5.8%) - 12
60/C - Pero Antic (4.0%) - 12
60/C - DeJuan Blair (2.0%) - 8
58/C - Jermaine O'Neal (11.3%) - 28
58/C - Emeka Okafor (8.2%) - 54* (2013 stats)
58/PF - Pau Gasol (4.9%) - 41
58/C - Kelly Olynyk (2.0%) - 10
58/PF - Elton Brand (2.4%) - 8
57/C - Samuel Dalembert (23.6%) - 85
57/C - Marcin Gortat (5.8%) - 46
56/C - Cole Aldrich (23.7%) - 41* (Career stats)
56/PF - Lavoy Allen (2.0%) - 6
55/C - Meyers Leonard (16.5%) - 13
55/C - Greg Stiemsma (14.8%) - 14
55/C - Vitor Faverani (8.8%) - 10
55/C - Kendrick Perkins (5.2%) - 9
54/C - Chris Kaman (2.6%) - 9
54/C - Spencer Hawes (2.8%) - 19
52/C - Chuck Hayes (0.0%) - 0
51/C - Alexis Ajinca (21.3%) - 46
51/C - Nazr Mohammed (4.0%) - 4
51/C - Zaza Pachulia (0.9%) - 3
50/C - Tyler Zeller (10.7%) - 30
50/C - Jared Sullinger (2.4%) - 19
48/C - Roy Hibbert (3.7%) - 27
48/C - Aaron Gray (3.3%) - 2