EASTERN CONFERENCE
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Cavaliers (61-21) vs. Bulls (41-41)
SRS: 6.27 (2nd) - -1.83 (18th)
ORTG: 111.2 (6th) - 103.5 (27th)
DRTG: 104.1 (7th) - 105.3 (11th)
PER Matchups
C: Shaquille O'Neal (17.9) - Joakim Noah (17.9)
PF: Antawn Jamison (16.7) - Taj Gibson (13.8)
SF: LeBron James (31.1) - Luol Deng (16.1)
SG: Anthony Parker (9.9) - Kirk Hinrich (11.6)
PG: Mo Williams (16.1) - Derrick Rose (18.6)
The Bulls obviously have no chance. Vinny Del Negro has done a solid job despite a very controversial season, and the team did well to make it this far. I for one am slightly disappointed the Raptors didn't make it, if only because I want to see LeBron average 40-10-10 for a playoff series. Unlike the Raptors, the Bulls are a respectable defensive team (so no legendary series' for LeBron), but they are inccredibly putrid offensively (give the ball to Rose and hope for the best) and have absolutely no chance of beating the Cavs in a 7 game series. Because the Cavs are working Shaquille O'Neal back into the mix, these games will be glorified practice sessions for the Cavs as they get prepared for the Celtics and Magic.
PREDICTION: Cavaliers in 4 games
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Magic (59-23) vs. Bobcats (44-38)
SRS: 7.12 (1st) - 1.30 (15th)
ORTG: 111.4 (4th) - 104.4 (24th)
DRTG: 103.3 (3rd) - 102.8 (1st)
PER Matchups
C: Dwight Howard (24.0) - Theo Ratliff (11.0)
PF: Rashard Lewis (14.0) - Boris Diaw (12.8)
SF: Matt Barnes (13.6) - Gerald Wallace (18.3)
SG: Vince Carter (17.1) - Stephen Jackson (15.7)
PG: Jameer Nelson (15.5) - Raymond Felton (15.2)
The Magic have advantages at 4 out of 5 positions, not to mention the deepest bench in the league. The Bobcats might have the best defense in the league, but their offense is not going to overcome Orlando's #3 ranked defense, and as such, they will be lucky to win one game.
PREDICTION: Magic in 4 games
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Hawks (53-29) vs. Bucks (46-36)
SRS: 4.44 (7th) - 1.38 (14th)
ORTG: 111.9 (2nd) - 104.9 (23rd)
DRTG: 106.7 (13th) - 103.1 (2nd)
PER Matchups
C: Al Horford (19.4) - Kurt Thomas (9.9)
PF: Josh Smith (21.0) - Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (11.8)
SF: Marvin Williams (13.0) - Carlos Delfino (12.9)
SG: Joe Johnson (19.3) - John Salmons (17.6)
PG: Mike Bibby (12.7) - Brandon Jennings (14.5)
The Hawks should have a relatively easy series (for once),as the Bucks are missing Andrew Bogut (as big of an all-star snub as Josh Smith, btw). Atlanta's offense is just too good, and the Bucks won't have enough of their own to support their still credible defense. You know it's bad when your top player is actually Luke Ridnour (17.7 PER off the bench), but the Hawks even have an answer for him with probable 2010 Sixth Man award winner Jamal Crawford (18.4 PER off the bench). Either way, Atlanta's young and improved frontline should dominate this series.
PREDICTION: Hawks in 4 games
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Celtics (50-32) vs. Heat (47-35)
SRS: 3.37 (10th) - 2.00 (13th)
ORTG: 107.7 (15th) - 106.6 (19th)
DRTG: 103.8 (5th) - 104.1 (6th)
PER Matchups
C: Kendrick Perkins (15.0) vs. Jermaine O'Neal (17.9)
PF: Kevin Garnett (19.4) vs. Michael Beasley (16.1)
SF: Paul Pierce (18.2) vs. Quentin Richardson (12.9)
SG: Ray Allen (15.2) vs. Dwyane Wade (28.0)
PG: Rajon Rondo (19.1) vs. Carlos Arroyo (12.3)
This will be a close series as both teams are excellent defensive teams but only average offensively. Many critics are thoroughly roasting Boston right now and predicting a first round exit. I still know better; they're the freakin Celtics! Miami is hardly great shakes themselves as they were floating from 5th to 9th place all season, and would have been the 6th seed if Andrew Bogut didn't get hurt. Dwyane Wade might be the best player in this series, but he will essentially be one man fighting against a great defensive team. O'Neal, Beasley, and Udonis Haslem will be limited by the defense of Perkins, Garnett, and Rasheed Wallace. KG may have lost a step, but it is difficult to imagine him losing his matchup to a one-dimensional black hole (Beasley), and we can probably expect to see a little more Udonis Haslem in this series... Meanwhile, Rondo and Pierce's advantages at their positions should easily make up for the difference between Ray Allen and Dwyane Wade.
Thus it looks like another first round exit for the Heat. Fortunately, with all their cap room, it should be the last one for a long time. Boston on the other hand will continue to fight father time and will need to make some difficult decisions going forward if they wish to remain in contention.
PREDICTION: Celtics in 6 games
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WESTERN CONFERENCE
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Lakers (57-25) vs. Thunder (50-32)
SRS: 4.78 (5th) - 3.55 (9th)
ORTG: 108.8 (11th) - 108.3 (12th)
DRTG: 103.7 (4th) - 104.6 (9th)
PER Matchups
C: Andrew Bynum (20.2) - Nenad Krstic (13.7)
PF: Pau Gasol (22.9) - Jeff Green (13.8)
SF: Ron Artest (12.1) - Kevin Durant (26.2)
SG: Kobe Bryant (21.9) - Thabo Sefolosha (9.8)
PG: Derek Fisher (9.3) - Russell Westbrook (17.8)
Ultimately, Durant and Kobe should cancel each other out. What this series comes down to is the Lakers are just too big up front for the Thunder. LA has three all-star caliber players and Oklahoma only has one, even if he is a top 3 NBA talent right now. Dwyane Wade faces a similar struggle out east, and Durant's road will be even tougher given the quality of his opponent. The Lakers will take this series, but Durant should be able steal a game (or even two) with his offensive prowess.
PREDICTION: Lakers in 5 games
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Mavericks (55-27) vs. Spurs (50-32)
SRS: 2.67 (12th) - 5.07 (4th)
ORTG: 109.2 (10th) - 110.0 (9th)
DRTG: 106.3 (12th) - 104.5 (8th)
PER Matchups
C: Erick Dampier (14.0) - Tim Duncan (24.7)
PF: Dirk Nowitzki (22.9) - Antonio McDyess (12.2)
SF: Shawn Marion (14.7) - Richard Jefferson (13.1)
SG: Caron Butler (14.2) - Manu Ginobili (22.5)
PG: Jason Kidd (17.2) - George Hill (14.9)
Going by the numbers, Dallas is not a worthy #2 seed and a prime candidate to be upset by the Spurs. However, the numbers are misleading for both teams, and we're going to have to dig a little deeper.
Dallas started the season with Josh Howard on the shelf, and he was never quite himself this season when healthy. Dallas flipped him at the all-star break for Caron Butler, a move that can be regarded as an upgrade. Butler and Howard combined for only 58 games for Dallas, which means there were 24 games where Dallas was throwing extra minutes at JJ Barea or rookie Rodrigue Beaubois. That hurts Dallas' numbers.
The Spurs, however, are not without thier variables either. Tony Parker missed 26 games and struggled throughout the year with a heel injury. He recently returned as the team's sixth man, a role he could thrive in just as Manu has all these years. The Spurs also made it a point to rest Tim Duncan (and the other Spurs starters) in preperation for the playoffs. Duncan will surely be playing 5-10 more minutes per game in the playoffs, and that certainly affects the Spurs' numbers.
Ultimately, what I think this series will come down to is that the Mavericks have home court advantage, and the Spurs still don't have anyone that can guard Dirk Nowitzki. Dallas on the other hand picked up Brendan Haywood who can match up with Duncan better than Dampier ever could. The Spurs also have some injury concerns (Hill and Parker) and that could play a factor in a long series - not to mention they won't get to torch Jason Kidd as badly as they normally would.
Whatever the case may be, this will easily be the most interesting and competitive playoff series of the first round.
PREDICTION: Mavericks in 7 games
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Suns (54-28) vs. Blazers (50-32)
SRS: 4.68 (6th) - 3.18 (11th)
ORTG: 115.3 (1st) - 110.8 (7th)
DRTG: 110.2 (23rd) - 107.1 (15th)
PER Matchups
C: Jarron Collins (3.8) - Marcus Camby (17.0)
PF: Amare Stoudemire (22.6) - LaMarcus Aldridge (18.2)
SF: Grant Hill (14.0) - Nicolas Batum (17.3)
SG: Jason Richardson (16.6) - Rudy Fernandez (13.1)
PG: Steve Nash (21.6) - Andre Miller (18.1)
In a season where the Blazers had their entire season marred by injuries, it only makes sense that their best player (Brandon Roy, 21.3 PER)would tear his meniscus right before the playoffs. With Roy, the Blazers likely would have advanced over these defenseless Suns. Without him, they will struggle to take advantage while also having to deal with the NBA's top offense on the other end. Don't expect to see much of Jarron Collins btw Blazer fans, the majority of the center minutes will go to Channing Frye (15.0 PER). The Suns have a deeper bench and will be running the Blazers into the ground without much opposition (as the Blazers are only an average defensive team themselves, Marcus Camby heroics notwithstanding). I'll say the Blazers steal a game though based on the merits of how bad the Suns are defensively.
PREDICTION: Suns in 5 games
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Nuggets (53-29) vs. Jazz (53-29)
SRS: 4.15 (8th) - 5.33 (3rd)
ORTG: 111.8 (3rd) - 110.7 (8th)
DRTG: 107.5 (16th) - 105.0 (10th)
PER Matchups
C: Nene (18.9) - Mehmet Okur (15.6)
PF: Kenyon Martin (13.4) - Carlos Boozer (21.3)
SF: Carmelo Anthony (22.2) - C.J. Miles (10.3)
SG: Arron Afflalo (10.8) - Wesley Matthews (12.3)
PG: Chauncey Billups (20.2) - Deron Williams (20.6)
Here we have yet another playoff series ruined by injury. Andrei Kirilenko (18.2 PER, and the team's best defensive player) will miss the entire first round, and that leaves the Jazz incredibly thin on the wing. The Jazz were destroyed by the Nuggets and Carmelo Anthony (33 ppg on 60 FG%) during the regular season (their only win coming when Melo was out of the lineup), and he should have a field day against Miles, Matthews, Kyle Korver, Othyus Jeffers, the kitchen sink, and whatever else Jerry Sloan can find to throw at him. Utah will need career performances from Deron Williams and Carlos Boozer to take advantage of Denver's average defense if they want to have any hope of overcoming the odds.
PREDICTION: Nuggets in 5 games
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For those of you who actually managed to get through all that, go download my playoff roster, which I just uploaded to 2K Share (Xbox 360)! A full breakdown on that will come tomorrow.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Friday, April 16, 2010
Lakers vs Celtics: Foul Drawing Issues
I ran another simulation, this time with LA vs Boston. I edited Draw Foul and Commit Foul tendencies for all players (most of these being increases) in an effort to generate some more realistic FT attempts. Instead, I got an infuriating result.
Pts-Reb-Ast-Stl-Blk
LAKERS
Andrew Bynum: 19-9-1-1-0 (9-11 FG, 1-2 FT) - 34 mins
Pau Gasol: 16-14-2-2-4 (7-10 FG, 2-4 FT) - 40 mins, 3 TO
Ron Artest: 9-1-3-5-1 (4-13 FG, 1-7 3PT) - 43 mins, 3 TO
Kobe Bryant: 39-3-3-0-0 (19-31 FG, 1-4 3PT, 0-0 FT) - 43 mins
Derek Fisher: 2-3-7-0-0 (1-8 FG, 0-5 3PT) - 38 mins
BENCH
Brown: 4-0-0-0-0 (3-7 FG, 2-4 3PT, 1-1 FT) - 12 mins
Farmar: 9-0-3-0-0 (1-3 FG, 2-2 FT) - 17 mins
Walton: 2-0-0-0-1 (1-1 FG) - 6 mins
No free throws for Kobe Bryant in an OT game against one of the top fouling teams in the league? It's simply ridiculous.
What makes this so infuriating is Kobe saw the biggest increase in "Foul Draw" of any player on either team. I raised him from 56 to 82 before the game. He has a 97 Shot Tendency, and took 31 shots in an OT game. He didn't go to the line a single time. WHAT ELSE DO I NEED TO DO?????
I am very adamant about using 2K's default sliders with my ratings, so changing foul sliders is not my solution.
This should have been a 45-50 point game for Kobe. Kobe draws fouls on 13% of his shots in real life. He should have been fouled 4 times, not including non-shooting fouls that send him to the line.
CELTICS
Kendrick Perkins: 9-13-4-1-0 (4-9 FG, 1-2 FT) - 36 mins
Kevin Garnett: 21-15-1-1-0 (9-16 FG, 3-3 FT) - 40 mins
Paul Pierce: 16-4-8-0-1 (7-15 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT) - 43 mins, 8 TO
Ray Allen: 23-0-1-1-0 (9-16 FG, 2-7 3PT, 3-3 FT) - 41 mins
Rajon Rondo: 12-1-9-2-0 (6-12 FG, 0-3 3PT) - 41 mins, 4 TO
BENCH
Rasheed Wallace: 2-3-2-1-0 (1-1 FG) - 18 mins
Glen Davis: 4-2-1-2-0 (2-4 FG) - 14 mins
Tony Allen: 4-0-1-0-0 (2-3 FG) - 13 mins
Nate Robinson: 8-0-2-0-0 (3-7 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-1 FT) - 13 mins
Michael Finley: 0-1-1-0-0 (0-3 FG, 0-2 3PT) - 11 mins
The Celtics commited a grand total of 5 fouls through 5 periods. WHAT THE ****. Two fouls for Sheed, 1 foul each for Perkins, Rondo, and Finley. No fouls for the big three.
Just so you guys don't think I'm crazy
COMMIT FOUL
Davis: 62 (down from 84)
Wallace: 56 (up from 49)
T.Allen: 55 (down from 62)
Perkins: 48 (down from 63)
Robinson: 47 (down from 50)
Garnett: 40 (up from 34)
Pierce: 40 (up from 33)
Rondo: 35
R.Allen: 34 (up from 22)
Finley: 28 (up from 7)
Of the Celtics top 6 players, four had their rating raised, one stayed the same, and only one saw a decrease.
DRAW FOUL
Bryant: 82 (up from 56)
Gasol: 70
Bynum: 61 (down from 91)
Odom: 41 (down from 73)
Artest: 39 (down from 45)
Brown: 39 (up from 14)
Farmar: 35 (down from 38)
Fisher: 30 (up from 25)
Walton: 17 (down from 32)
The funny thing is Brown and Farmar pale in comparison to Kobe yet they drew 2 fouls on 10 FGA (20% Foul Draw). Gasol got fouled twice on 10 shots (20%). Kobe did not get fouled once and took 31 shots and that is just god-damn mind boggling.
For once, I am at a loss. If you've got anything, let me know. My stats are all realistic aside from not enough fouls.
Pts-Reb-Ast-Stl-Blk
LAKERS
Andrew Bynum: 19-9-1-1-0 (9-11 FG, 1-2 FT) - 34 mins
Pau Gasol: 16-14-2-2-4 (7-10 FG, 2-4 FT) - 40 mins, 3 TO
Ron Artest: 9-1-3-5-1 (4-13 FG, 1-7 3PT) - 43 mins, 3 TO
Kobe Bryant: 39-3-3-0-0 (19-31 FG, 1-4 3PT, 0-0 FT) - 43 mins
Derek Fisher: 2-3-7-0-0 (1-8 FG, 0-5 3PT) - 38 mins
BENCH
Brown: 4-0-0-0-0 (3-7 FG, 2-4 3PT, 1-1 FT) - 12 mins
Farmar: 9-0-3-0-0 (1-3 FG, 2-2 FT) - 17 mins
Walton: 2-0-0-0-1 (1-1 FG) - 6 mins
No free throws for Kobe Bryant in an OT game against one of the top fouling teams in the league? It's simply ridiculous.
What makes this so infuriating is Kobe saw the biggest increase in "Foul Draw" of any player on either team. I raised him from 56 to 82 before the game. He has a 97 Shot Tendency, and took 31 shots in an OT game. He didn't go to the line a single time. WHAT ELSE DO I NEED TO DO?????
I am very adamant about using 2K's default sliders with my ratings, so changing foul sliders is not my solution.
This should have been a 45-50 point game for Kobe. Kobe draws fouls on 13% of his shots in real life. He should have been fouled 4 times, not including non-shooting fouls that send him to the line.
CELTICS
Kendrick Perkins: 9-13-4-1-0 (4-9 FG, 1-2 FT) - 36 mins
Kevin Garnett: 21-15-1-1-0 (9-16 FG, 3-3 FT) - 40 mins
Paul Pierce: 16-4-8-0-1 (7-15 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT) - 43 mins, 8 TO
Ray Allen: 23-0-1-1-0 (9-16 FG, 2-7 3PT, 3-3 FT) - 41 mins
Rajon Rondo: 12-1-9-2-0 (6-12 FG, 0-3 3PT) - 41 mins, 4 TO
BENCH
Rasheed Wallace: 2-3-2-1-0 (1-1 FG) - 18 mins
Glen Davis: 4-2-1-2-0 (2-4 FG) - 14 mins
Tony Allen: 4-0-1-0-0 (2-3 FG) - 13 mins
Nate Robinson: 8-0-2-0-0 (3-7 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-1 FT) - 13 mins
Michael Finley: 0-1-1-0-0 (0-3 FG, 0-2 3PT) - 11 mins
The Celtics commited a grand total of 5 fouls through 5 periods. WHAT THE ****. Two fouls for Sheed, 1 foul each for Perkins, Rondo, and Finley. No fouls for the big three.
Just so you guys don't think I'm crazy
COMMIT FOUL
Davis: 62 (down from 84)
Wallace: 56 (up from 49)
T.Allen: 55 (down from 62)
Perkins: 48 (down from 63)
Robinson: 47 (down from 50)
Garnett: 40 (up from 34)
Pierce: 40 (up from 33)
Rondo: 35
R.Allen: 34 (up from 22)
Finley: 28 (up from 7)
Of the Celtics top 6 players, four had their rating raised, one stayed the same, and only one saw a decrease.
DRAW FOUL
Bryant: 82 (up from 56)
Gasol: 70
Bynum: 61 (down from 91)
Odom: 41 (down from 73)
Artest: 39 (down from 45)
Brown: 39 (up from 14)
Farmar: 35 (down from 38)
Fisher: 30 (up from 25)
Walton: 17 (down from 32)
The funny thing is Brown and Farmar pale in comparison to Kobe yet they drew 2 fouls on 10 FGA (20% Foul Draw). Gasol got fouled twice on 10 shots (20%). Kobe did not get fouled once and took 31 shots and that is just god-damn mind boggling.
For once, I am at a loss. If you've got anything, let me know. My stats are all realistic aside from not enough fouls.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Lakers vs Thunder: Playoff Sim
I completed my rating and tendency edits for the Lakers and Thunder as I was very interested in seeing some cpu game data between these two teams. Here goes nothing.
pts-reb-ast-stl-blk
LAKERS 111-35-24-4-4 (48-84 FG, 5-15 3PT, 10-15 FT)
Bynum 22-7-1-1-0 (11-13 FG, 0-2 FT) 30 mins
Gasol 13-14-0-0-2 (4-8 FG, 5-6 FT) 36 mins - 4 fouls
Artest 12-3-1-1-1 (5-9 FG, 2-3 3PT) 38 mins
Bryant 34-1-3-1-0 (15-26 FG, 0-3 3PT, 4-5 FT) 36 mins
Fisher 8-1-9-0-0 (3-9 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT) 34 mins
BENCH
Odom 11-9-2-0-0 (5-10 FG, 1-2 3PT) 34 mins
Brown 6-0-0-0-0 (3-5 FG, 0-2 3PT) 13 mins
Farmar 3-0-7-1-0 (1-3 FG, 1-2 3PT) 15 mins
Walton 2-0-1-0-1 (1-1 FG) 8 mins
THUNDER 104-33-24-5-3 (42-82 FG, 6-16 3PT, 14-17 FT)
Krstic 10-3-3-0-1 (5-7 FG) 30 mins - 5 fouls
Green 17-6-1-0-0 (6-12 FG, 1-2 3PT, 4-6 FT) 36 mins
Durant 28-8-3-2-1 (12-22 FG, 2-5 3PT, 2-2 FT) 40 mins
Sefolosha 13-2-3-1-0 (5-14 FG, 1-3 3PT, 2-2 FT) 35 mins
Westbrook 10-3-8-0-0 (4-10 FG, 1-4 3PT, 1-1 FT) 37 mins
BENCH
Harden 10-1-1-2-0 (2-6 FG, 1-2 3PT, 5-6 FT) 17 mins
Ibaka 8-3-0-0-1 (4-4 FG) 16 mins
Collison 8-7-2-0-0 (4-7 FG) 19 mins
Maynor 0-0-3-0-0 (0-0 FG) 15 mins
PLAYER PERFORMANCE
Kobe Bryant: He toyed with Sefolosha at times, particularly in the post. Only hit one mid-range shot, everything else was Inside or Close range.
Andrew Bynum: Was simply too big for OKC - scored 16 points in the first half. The Lakers were +24 on points in the paint which is why they won the game.
Pau Gasol: Relatively quiet offensive game but came up big late in the 4th to seal it. Dominated the glass.
Kevin Durant: Scored from all over the court, just like in real life.
Russell Westbrook: Couldn't get it going in the half court game, as most of his points came on fastbreaks. Used his speed advantage over Fisher to create shots for others instead, as Gasol/Bynum were usually waiting for him at the rim.
Nenad Krstic: Had a decent offensive game but couldn't handle the Lakers imposing center duo of Gasol and Bynum (5 fouls in 30 mins).
All in all I thought this was a realistic showing of what we can expect once the playoffs begin, with one caveat. Andrew Bynum is returning from an injury in real life, and even Phil Jackson doesn't know how many minutes he'll play (much less if he'll even start). If there's any demand, I'll run another sim with Odom and Gasol starting with Bynum's minutes limited to about 15 and see how that affects things.
pts-reb-ast-stl-blk
LAKERS 111-35-24-4-4 (48-84 FG, 5-15 3PT, 10-15 FT)
Bynum 22-7-1-1-0 (11-13 FG, 0-2 FT) 30 mins
Gasol 13-14-0-0-2 (4-8 FG, 5-6 FT) 36 mins - 4 fouls
Artest 12-3-1-1-1 (5-9 FG, 2-3 3PT) 38 mins
Bryant 34-1-3-1-0 (15-26 FG, 0-3 3PT, 4-5 FT) 36 mins
Fisher 8-1-9-0-0 (3-9 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT) 34 mins
BENCH
Odom 11-9-2-0-0 (5-10 FG, 1-2 3PT) 34 mins
Brown 6-0-0-0-0 (3-5 FG, 0-2 3PT) 13 mins
Farmar 3-0-7-1-0 (1-3 FG, 1-2 3PT) 15 mins
Walton 2-0-1-0-1 (1-1 FG) 8 mins
THUNDER 104-33-24-5-3 (42-82 FG, 6-16 3PT, 14-17 FT)
Krstic 10-3-3-0-1 (5-7 FG) 30 mins - 5 fouls
Green 17-6-1-0-0 (6-12 FG, 1-2 3PT, 4-6 FT) 36 mins
Durant 28-8-3-2-1 (12-22 FG, 2-5 3PT, 2-2 FT) 40 mins
Sefolosha 13-2-3-1-0 (5-14 FG, 1-3 3PT, 2-2 FT) 35 mins
Westbrook 10-3-8-0-0 (4-10 FG, 1-4 3PT, 1-1 FT) 37 mins
BENCH
Harden 10-1-1-2-0 (2-6 FG, 1-2 3PT, 5-6 FT) 17 mins
Ibaka 8-3-0-0-1 (4-4 FG) 16 mins
Collison 8-7-2-0-0 (4-7 FG) 19 mins
Maynor 0-0-3-0-0 (0-0 FG) 15 mins
PLAYER PERFORMANCE
Kobe Bryant: He toyed with Sefolosha at times, particularly in the post. Only hit one mid-range shot, everything else was Inside or Close range.
Andrew Bynum: Was simply too big for OKC - scored 16 points in the first half. The Lakers were +24 on points in the paint which is why they won the game.
Pau Gasol: Relatively quiet offensive game but came up big late in the 4th to seal it. Dominated the glass.
Kevin Durant: Scored from all over the court, just like in real life.
Russell Westbrook: Couldn't get it going in the half court game, as most of his points came on fastbreaks. Used his speed advantage over Fisher to create shots for others instead, as Gasol/Bynum were usually waiting for him at the rim.
Nenad Krstic: Had a decent offensive game but couldn't handle the Lakers imposing center duo of Gasol and Bynum (5 fouls in 30 mins).
All in all I thought this was a realistic showing of what we can expect once the playoffs begin, with one caveat. Andrew Bynum is returning from an injury in real life, and even Phil Jackson doesn't know how many minutes he'll play (much less if he'll even start). If there's any demand, I'll run another sim with Odom and Gasol starting with Bynum's minutes limited to about 15 and see how that affects things.
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Playoff rosters coming...
I've been pretty busy and it's been a long time since I've updated. I am currently working on end of season rosters, and a few blog articles I've wanted to post for awhile.
In short, I'm still alive.
Here's some sim stats from a DAL/POR game.
pts-reb-ast-stl-blk
BLAZERS 111
Camby: 11-16-2-0-0 (4-9 FG, 3-5 FT)
Aldridge: 22-10-3-0-0 (10-18 FG, 2-2 FT)
Batum: 20-2-0-0-0 (8-13 FG, 4-8 3PT)
Fernandez: 33-2-4-2-0 (14-21 FG, 3-5 3PT, 2-2 FT)
Miller: 8-3-10-1-0 (4-8 FG, 8 TO)
Bench
Webster: 6-3-4-0-0 (2-5 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT)
Bayless: 9-1-1-0-0 (4-7 FG, 1-1 FT)
Howard: 2-3-0-0-0 (1-2 FG)
Cunningham: 0-1-1-1-0 (0-0 FG)
MAVERICKS 106
Dampier: 6-4-0-0-0 (3-3 FG, 0-2 FT)
Nowitzki: 26-6-6-2-0 (12-21 FG, 0-1 3PT, 2-2 FT)
Marion: 7-2-4-4-0 (3-5 FG, 1-1 FT)
Butler: 29-2-3-1-0 (14-22 FG, 0-2 3PT, 1-1 FT)
Kidd: 11-5-19-2-0 (5-7 FG, 1-2 3PT)
Bench
Terry: 11-4-1-1-0 (4-15 FG, 2-8 3PT, 1-1 FT)
Haywood: 6-4-0-1-1 (3-4 FG)
Barea: 10-1-2-0-0 (4-5 FG, 2-2 3PT)
Najera: 0-0-0-0-0 (0-1 FG, 0-1 3PT)
Beaubois: 0-0-0-1-0 (0-3 FG, 0-3 3PT)
In short, I'm still alive.
Here's some sim stats from a DAL/POR game.
pts-reb-ast-stl-blk
BLAZERS 111
Camby: 11-16-2-0-0 (4-9 FG, 3-5 FT)
Aldridge: 22-10-3-0-0 (10-18 FG, 2-2 FT)
Batum: 20-2-0-0-0 (8-13 FG, 4-8 3PT)
Fernandez: 33-2-4-2-0 (14-21 FG, 3-5 3PT, 2-2 FT)
Miller: 8-3-10-1-0 (4-8 FG, 8 TO)
Bench
Webster: 6-3-4-0-0 (2-5 FG, 1-3 3PT, 1-2 FT)
Bayless: 9-1-1-0-0 (4-7 FG, 1-1 FT)
Howard: 2-3-0-0-0 (1-2 FG)
Cunningham: 0-1-1-1-0 (0-0 FG)
MAVERICKS 106
Dampier: 6-4-0-0-0 (3-3 FG, 0-2 FT)
Nowitzki: 26-6-6-2-0 (12-21 FG, 0-1 3PT, 2-2 FT)
Marion: 7-2-4-4-0 (3-5 FG, 1-1 FT)
Butler: 29-2-3-1-0 (14-22 FG, 0-2 3PT, 1-1 FT)
Kidd: 11-5-19-2-0 (5-7 FG, 1-2 3PT)
Bench
Terry: 11-4-1-1-0 (4-15 FG, 2-8 3PT, 1-1 FT)
Haywood: 6-4-0-1-1 (3-4 FG)
Barea: 10-1-2-0-0 (4-5 FG, 2-2 3PT)
Najera: 0-0-0-0-0 (0-1 FG, 0-1 3PT)
Beaubois: 0-0-0-1-0 (0-3 FG, 0-3 3PT)
Sunday, April 4, 2010
2K Sports: consistently stealing my consistency ratings
2K Sports updated consistency ratings in their April Fools update, but the joke is on them. The majority of their changes are ripped right from my roster.
Chauncey Billups: 85 (from 99)
Jason Terry: 80 (from 99)
Vince Carter: 80 (from 99)
Jameer Nelson: 75 (from 99)
Ben Gordon: 75 (from 99)
Nate Robinson: 65 (from 99)
J.J. Redick: 50 (from 25)
There are surely a few others... and surely more to come since 2K hasn't adjusted consistency for every team yet.
While I appreciate the fact that 2K Sports continues to be a fan of my work, it's really quite annoying that they employ talentless hacks.
Chauncey Billups: 85 (from 99)
Jason Terry: 80 (from 99)
Vince Carter: 80 (from 99)
Jameer Nelson: 75 (from 99)
Ben Gordon: 75 (from 99)
Nate Robinson: 65 (from 99)
J.J. Redick: 50 (from 25)
There are surely a few others... and surely more to come since 2K hasn't adjusted consistency for every team yet.
While I appreciate the fact that 2K Sports continues to be a fan of my work, it's really quite annoying that they employ talentless hacks.
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