With the release of the NBA 2K11 ratings, as well as news that rookie Michael Jordan would only be 79 overall, there was quite a bit of backlash when fans found out #1 pick John Wall would enter the game with an 81 rating.
I have acquired Wall's detailed ratings, and you may now critique away.
An excerpt from the experts @ Draft Express
The most glaring weakness we can recognize revolves around his ability to operate in the half-court. According to the data we have at our disposal, Wall’s field goal percentage in transition situations sits at an amazing 77%. Once he’s forced to play in the half-court, though, his field goal percentage plummets to just 40%. Similarly, he’s been able to draw fouls in the half-court on just 10% of his possessions, as opposed to 27% in transition.
Wall’s ball-handling skills in tight spaces are currently not up to par with his amazing athleticism. His ability to change speeds and directions when creating his own shot out of a stand-still position is just average right now, as he tends to struggle if he can’t just blow by his defender purely with his first step. He overwhelmingly favors driving left (doing so in 71% of his possessions), and is mostly relegated to either passing or pulling up off the dribble if forced to drove right.
Because he’s a far better slasher at this point than he is a shooter, defenses tend to sag off him and force him to beat them with his still-erratic pull-up jumper. He’s been showing major improvement with it as the year’s moved on, though, so it will be interesting to see how he progresses in this area.
Due to Wall’s struggles and those of his teammates in the half-court, he is exceedingly turnover prone, ranking fourth amongst all draft prospects in turnovers per-40 minutes pace adjusted, at 5.2. He’s forced to carry an awfully big share of Kentucky’s offense—27.2% to be exact—and it’s clear his decision making skills still need work, something that will likely come in time with experience.
I believe it goes without saying that Wall's ball handling abilities were badly overrated. A 10-point drop in Ball Handle and Off-Hand Dribbling would reduce his rating by 2 points right off the bat.
The other concern I have (that DX doesn't mention) is defense. Wall might be good at getting steals and blocks but he is HARDLY a lockdown perimeter defender. He is an athletic 19 year old.
82 Kevin Garnett
80 Kevin Durant
77 John Wall
76 Paul Pierce
75 Stephen Jackson
As a basketball junky who crunches numbers extensively, it is a bit infuriating to me that 2K actually thought John Wall's defensive intellect was only 5 points worse than a player two seasons removed from Defensive Player of the Year (Kevin Garnett), or that a "grizzled" teenager knows more about defense than veterans like Paul Pierce and Stephen Jackson. Get real, 2K Sports.
90 Rajon Rondo
89 Kobe Bryant
85 LeBron James
84 John Wall
83 Andre Iguodala
Apparently, 2K thinks Wall at 19 years of age is on the cusp of an all-defensive team. We haven't even looked up any defensive metrics or references and these already don't pass the laugh test.
John Wall is going to be a great player, and could even be the best PG in the league given time. The point however, is that he's not there yet - he's not even top 10 until he shows us otherwise. Point guard is the deepest position in the entire league, and it is extremely unlikely that Wall will be an elite player right off the bat.