Monday, August 17, 2009

Updating my tendencies, part 2

A short day at work allows me to continue sooner than I expected. The stats from the second CPU/CPU sim (10 min qtrs).


Joe Johnson: 18-2-8-1-1-2 (5-9 FG, 2-4 3pt, 6-7 FT) 34/40 mins
Mike Bibby: 17-1-3-2-1-1 (7-14 FG, 2-7 3pt, 1-2 FT) 30/40 mins
Al Horford: 16-5-1-4-2-2 (8-15 FG, 0-1 FT) 30/40 mins
Jamal Crawford: 14-2-5-2-0-4 (4-7 FG, 0-1 3PT, 6-7 FT) 23/40 mins
Marvin Williams: 13-5-2-2-0-1 (5-7 FG, 1-2 3PT, 2-2 FT) 28/40 mins
Josh Smith: 12-4-3-0-1-1 (6-6 FG) 30/40 mins
Zaza Pachulia: 8-1-0-0-1-1 (3-4 FG, 2/2 FT) 11/40 mins
Maurice Evans: 6-2-1-1-0-1 (1-5 FG, 4-4 FT) 10/40 mins
Joe Smith: 1-2-0-1-1-0 (0-3 FG, 1-2 FT) 8/40 mins

Hawk starters had slightly less minutes as the game was a 20 point blowout going into the 4th (the Knicks made a furious comeback in the final period).
Joe Johnson was much more passive in the second game, opting to play the role of facilitator rather than scorer.
Mike Bibby consequently increased his scoring load and only had 3 assists.
Al Horford had a better offensive game against NY's undersized frontline.
Josh Smith was 6-6 which makes him 9-10 over the two games. It seems like the only shots he gets are alley oops. Not entirely unrealistic, and it could be that the addition of trigger-happy Crawford has taken away from Smith's opportunities to display his poor shot selection.
Zaza Pachulia had a huge bounce back game posting 8 pts in 11 mins compared to 2 pts in 14 mins.
Joe Smith it 0-5 from the field but 3-4 from the line in 15 mins over the two games.

Al Harrington: 37-8-3-3-1-4 (15-20 FG, 0-1 3pt, 7-7 FT) 33/40 mins
David Lee: 14-8-2-1-1-2 (7-10 FG, 0-0 FT) 27/40 mins
Wilson Chandler: 11-2-1-0-0-0 (4-8 FG, 1-2 3PT, 2-4 FT) 32/40 mins
Danilo Gallinari: 10-0-0-0-0-0 (4-5 FG, 2-3 3PT, 0-0 FT) 8/40 mins
Darko Milicic: 8-5-2-1-1-0 (3-5 FG, 2-2 FT) 14/40 mins
Larry Hughes: 8-0-6-3-0-1 (4-9 FG, 0-1 3PT) 24/40 mins
Nate Robinson: 6-1-7-0-0-3 (2-7 FG, 0-4 3PT, 2-3 FT) 21/40 mins
Jared Jeffries: 6-2-3-1-0-0 (3-6 FG) 16/40 mins
Chris Duhon: 4-2-10-1-0-3 (2-4 FG, 0-2 3PT) 29/40 mins

Knick starters all had more minutes than the previous game. The Knicks nearly came back from a 20 point defecit entering the 4th quarter but lost by 1.
Al Harrington was an absolute monster and I'll have to watch his signature highlights to find out why. I'm a little annoyed that he only took one three, but considering the success he had it's tough to argue with the CPU's decision.
David Lee did not get to the FT line, though this is probably due to improved defense from Horford.
Wilson Chandler rebounded from a dismal first game, but I would have liked to see him do more than score on a night where Al Harrington dominated offensively.
Danilo Gallinari was deadly in limited minutes. He played 10 fewer minutes but scored 2 more points compared to game one. Wouldn't surprise me if he were the reaso behind the 4th quarter comeback.
Darko Milicic came back down to earth after his spectacular game one. I would have been worried if he didn't.
Larry Hughes had 6 assists in 24 mins which was fairly surprising.
Nate Robinson struggled with his shot, going 0-4 on threes coming off a 3-3 game.
Chris Duhon outplayed Nate this time, logging double digit assists.
Toney Douglas and Jordan Hill recorded DNPs

Hawks 105
39-70 FG (55%)
5-14 3PT (35%)
22-27 FT (81%)
23 assists
12 turnovers
10 fouls
24 rebounds (7 off)
12 steals
7 blocks
46 points in paint
29 bench points
12 second chance points
12 fast break points

The Hawks bench played did a much better job this game, and the Hawks didn't embarrass themselves on the glass. They forced more steals which got them some easy fast break points to drive up their shooting percentage (9% better than last game), and also got to the line more thanks to the improved interior play.

Knicks 104
34-74 FG (59%)
3-13 3PT (23%)
13-17 FT (78%)
34 assists
13 turnovers
15 fouls
28 rebounds (6 off)
10 steals
3 blocks
62 points in paint
30 bench points
8 second chance points
11 fast break points

Both teams recorded more fast break points to drive up their shooting percentage (up 10%, though their excellent ball movement played a big part in this as well). NY did not have the same 3pt success as game 1, nor did they crash the boards as hard. They did not get to the line as much either which may have cost them in the end.

Joe Johnson (18 pts, 2 reb, 8 ast, 1 stl, 1 blk, 5-19 FG, 2-4 3PT, 6-7 FT, 34 mins)


Hero: Al Horford (+13)
Goat: Joe Johnson (-18)

Horford was the leader in game 1 as well. Johnson was on the court for the whole Knick comeback it seems. Given his "Player of the Game" status it seems numbers don't tell the whole story.

Hero: Danilo Gallinari (+15)
Goat: Larry Hughes (-11)

Looks like I was right, Gallinari did spark the 4th quarter comeback. Al Harrington was +14 so it seems this duo lit things up.

Johnson got all of his points on jumpers (aside from a postup hook on poor Nate Robinson), unlike game one where he got them all driving to the rack or in the post. This is not a surprise given that he was more of a distributor this game.
Williams looked fantastic going to the basket. The top 3 plays were all Marvin drives.
Forget what I said about Josh Smith, as he didn't recieve any lob passes this game and actually showed a mid-range touch. He was open on all his shots (thanks to deft passing) which is the reason for his perfect shooting. That makes me feel a bit better about his 9-10 FG over the two games since a better defensive team could have prevented that.
Al Horford made some incredible defensive plays.
Zaza owned Darko this time around.

Duhon had a sick alley oop to Lee (over Horford and Smith, play of the game IMO), as well as one to Harrington. Many of his assists were to Al Harrington which helps explain Al's dominance.
Jared Jeffries had his way with Joe Smith, and was another reason for the comeback.
Nate connected with Lee on an alley, and his two successful shots were an acrobati layup and a spin-move tear drop.
Harrington did most of his damage on basket cuts, and mid-range jumpers. He did not play with his back to the basket as he did in the first game. It would have been nice to see him post up once or twice, or shoot a couple more threes, but it's clear the CPU decided to keep going with what was working until the defense stopped it (which is what you'd do in real life anyway).

All in all I'm very impressed with the outcomes of both games. Watching the highlights I never really saw a moment where I said ugh, that would never happen in real life. The scores and stats were relatively realistic. I'd like to implement my tendency formulas to a couple other teams and see what happens. I'll keep you guys posted.


parth said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
parth said...

check this out prizes worth Rs 10k..